Paper ID: 2309.09993

Long-term Neurological Sequelae in Post-COVID-19 Patients: A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Outcomes

Hayder A. Albaqer, Kadhum J. Al-Jibouri, John Martin, Fadhil G. Al-Amran, Salman Rawaf, Maitham G. Yousif

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought to light a concerning aspect of long-term neurological complications in post-recovery patients. This study delved into the investigation of such neurological sequelae in a cohort of 500 post-COVID-19 patients, encompassing individuals with varying illness severity. The primary aim was to predict outcomes using a machine learning approach based on diverse clinical data and neuroimaging parameters. The results revealed that 68% of the post-COVID-19 patients reported experiencing neurological symptoms, with fatigue, headache, and anosmia being the most common manifestations. Moreover, 22% of the patients exhibited more severe neurological complications, including encephalopathy and stroke. The application of machine learning models showed promising results in predicting long-term neurological outcomes. Notably, the Random Forest model achieved an accuracy of 85%, sensitivity of 80%, and specificity of 90% in identifying patients at risk of developing neurological sequelae. These findings underscore the importance of continuous monitoring and follow-up care for post-COVID-19 patients, particularly in relation to potential neurological complications. The integration of machine learning-based outcome prediction offers a valuable tool for early intervention and personalized treatment strategies, aiming to improve patient care and clinical decision-making. In conclusion, this study sheds light on the prevalence of long-term neurological complications in post-COVID-19 patients and demonstrates the potential of machine learning in predicting outcomes, thereby contributing to enhanced patient management and better health outcomes. Further research and larger studies are warranted to validate and refine these predictive models and to gain deeper insights into the underlying mechanisms of post-COVID-19 neurological sequelae.

Submitted: Sep 15, 2023