Paper ID: 2309.10948

A Novel Deep Neural Network for Trajectory Prediction in Automated Vehicles Using Velocity Vector Field

MReza Alipour Sormoli, Amir Samadi, Sajjad Mozaffari, Konstantinos Koufos, Mehrdad Dianati, Roger Woodman

Anticipating the motion of other road users is crucial for automated driving systems (ADS), as it enables safe and informed downstream decision-making and motion planning. Unfortunately, contemporary learning-based approaches for motion prediction exhibit significant performance degradation as the prediction horizon increases or the observation window decreases. This paper proposes a novel technique for trajectory prediction that combines a data-driven learning-based method with a velocity vector field (VVF) generated from a nature-inspired concept, i.e., fluid flow dynamics. In this work, the vector field is incorporated as an additional input to a convolutional-recurrent deep neural network to help predict the most likely future trajectories given a sequence of bird's eye view scene representations. The performance of the proposed model is compared with state-of-the-art methods on the HighD dataset demonstrating that the VVF inclusion improves the prediction accuracy for both short and long-term (5~sec) time horizons. It is also shown that the accuracy remains consistent with decreasing observation windows which alleviates the requirement of a long history of past observations for accurate trajectory prediction. Source codes are available at: https://github.com/Amir-Samadi/VVF-TP.

Submitted: Sep 19, 2023