Paper ID: 2401.14426

M$^3$TN: Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts based Multi-valued Treatment Network for Uplift Modeling

Zexu Sun, Xu Chen

Uplift modeling is a technique used to predict the effect of a treatment (e.g., discounts) on an individual's response. Although several methods have been proposed for multi-valued treatment, they are extended from binary treatment methods. There are still some limitations. Firstly, existing methods calculate uplift based on predicted responses, which may not guarantee a consistent uplift distribution between treatment and control groups. Moreover, this may cause cumulative errors for multi-valued treatment. Secondly, the model parameters become numerous with many prediction heads, leading to reduced efficiency. To address these issues, we propose a novel \underline{M}ulti-gate \underline{M}ixture-of-Experts based \underline{M}ulti-valued \underline{T}reatment \underline{N}etwork (M$^3$TN). M$^3$TN consists of two components: 1) a feature representation module with Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts to improve the efficiency; 2) a reparameterization module by modeling uplift explicitly to improve the effectiveness. We also conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our M$^3$TN.

Submitted: Jan 24, 2024