Paper ID: 2409.06437

A Short Information-Theoretic Analysis of Linear Auto-Regressive Learning

Ingvar Ziemann

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and works without any invocation of stability in the case of finite hypothesis classes.

Submitted: Sep 10, 2024