Paper ID: 2410.23692

Instruction-Tuning Llama-3-8B Excels in City-Scale Mobility Prediction

Peizhi Tang, Chuang Yang, Tong Xing, Xiaohang Xu, Renhe Jiang, Kaoru Sezaki

Human mobility prediction plays a critical role in applications such as disaster response, urban planning, and epidemic forecasting. Traditional methods often rely on designing crafted, domain-specific models, and typically focus on short-term predictions, which struggle to generalize across diverse urban environments. In this study, we introduce Llama-3-8B-Mob, a large language model fine-tuned with instruction tuning, for long-term citywide mobility prediction -- in a Q&A manner. We validate our approach using large-scale human mobility data from four metropolitan areas in Japan, focusing on predicting individual trajectories over the next 15 days. The results demonstrate that Llama-3-8B-Mob excels in modeling long-term human mobility -- surpassing the state-of-the-art on multiple prediction metrics. It also displays strong zero-shot generalization capabilities -- effectively generalizing to other cities even when fine-tuned only on limited samples from a single city. Source codes are available at this https URL

Submitted: Oct 31, 2024