Paper ID: 2412.02503

CA-MoE: Channel-Adapted MoE for Incremental Weather Forecasting

Hao Chen, Han Tao, Guo Song, Jie Zhang, Yunlong Yu, Yonghan Dong, Chuang Yang, Lei Bai

Atmospheric science is intricately connected with other fields, e.g., geography and aerospace. Most existing approaches involve training a joint atmospheric and geographic model from scratch, which incurs significant computational costs and overlooks the potential for incremental learning of weather variables across different domains. In this paper, we introduce incremental learning to weather forecasting and propose a novel structure that allows for the flexible expansion of variables within the model. Specifically, our method presents a Channel-Adapted MoE (CA-MoE) that employs a divide-and-conquer strategy. This strategy assigns variable training tasks to different experts by index embedding and reduces computational complexity through a channel-wise Top-K strategy. Experiments conducted on the widely utilized ERA5 dataset reveal that our method, utilizing only approximately 15\% of trainable parameters during the incremental stage, attains performance that is on par with state-of-the-art competitors. Notably, in the context of variable incremental experiments, our method demonstrates negligible issues with catastrophic forgetting.

Submitted: Dec 3, 2024