Based Weather
AI-based weather forecasting is rapidly advancing, aiming to improve the accuracy, speed, and accessibility of weather predictions. Current research focuses on developing and refining AI models, including transformer networks and convolutional neural networks, often incorporating elements of data assimilation techniques like ensemble Kalman filters and 4DVar to enhance forecast skill and address biases. These advancements offer the potential for more accurate and timely forecasts of various weather phenomena, including tropical cyclones and severe convective storms, ultimately improving weather-related risk management and societal preparedness. Furthermore, efforts are underway to create more efficient data handling and model deployment strategies to broaden access to these powerful tools.
Papers
EPT-1.5 Technical Report
Roberto Molinaro, Jordan Dane Daubinet, Alexander Jakob Dautel, Andreas Schlueter, Alex Grigoryev, Nikoo Ekhtiari, Bas Steunebrink, Kevin Thiart, Roan John Song, Henry Martin, Leonie Wagner, Andrea Giussani, Marvin Vincent Gabler
Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan tropical cyclones?
Y. Qiang Sun, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Mohsen Zand, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Jonathan Weare, Dorian S. Abbot