Causal Inference
Causal inference aims to determine cause-and-effect relationships from data, going beyond mere correlations to understand how interventions impact outcomes. Current research heavily focuses on addressing challenges like confounding (the influence of unobserved variables), particularly in high-dimensional data and complex treatments (e.g., text, sequences of actions), employing methods such as structural causal models, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), and various neural network architectures including Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). These advancements are crucial for improving the reliability of causal conclusions across diverse fields, from medicine and economics to personalized interventions and policy-making.
Papers
Towards Understanding How Machines Can Learn Causal Overhypotheses
Eliza Kosoy, David M. Chan, Adrian Liu, Jasmine Collins, Bryanna Kaufmann, Sandy Han Huang, Jessica B. Hamrick, John Canny, Nan Rosemary Ke, Alison Gopnik
Continuous-Time Modeling of Counterfactual Outcomes Using Neural Controlled Differential Equations
Nabeel Seedat, Fergus Imrie, Alexis Bellot, Zhaozhi Qian, Mihaela van der Schaar
Estimating Causal Effects Under Image Confounding Bias with an Application to Poverty in Africa
Connor T. Jerzak, Fredrik Johansson, Adel Daoud
Causal Inference-Based Root Cause Analysis for Online Service Systems with Intervention Recognition
Mingjie Li, Zeyan Li, Kanglin Yin, Xiaohui Nie, Wenchi Zhang, Kaixin Sui, Dan Pei