Causal Inference
Causal inference aims to determine cause-and-effect relationships from data, going beyond mere correlations to understand how interventions impact outcomes. Current research heavily focuses on addressing challenges like confounding (the influence of unobserved variables), particularly in high-dimensional data and complex treatments (e.g., text, sequences of actions), employing methods such as structural causal models, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), and various neural network architectures including Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). These advancements are crucial for improving the reliability of causal conclusions across diverse fields, from medicine and economics to personalized interventions and policy-making.
Papers
Applied Causal Inference Powered by ML and AI
Victor Chernozhukov, Christian Hansen, Nathan Kallus, Martin Spindler, Vasilis Syrgkanis
A Data-Driven Two-Phase Multi-Split Causal Ensemble Model for Time Series
Zhipeng Ma, Marco Kemmerling, Daniel Buschmann, Chrismarie Enslin, Daniel Lütticke, Robert H. Schmitt
Improving generalisation via anchor multivariate analysis
Homer Durand, Gherardo Varando, Nathan Mankovich, Gustau Camps-Valls
Causal hybrid modeling with double machine learning
Kai-Hendrik Cohrs, Gherardo Varando, Nuno Carvalhais, Markus Reichstein, Gustau Camps-Valls
Integrating Active Learning in Causal Inference with Interference: A Novel Approach in Online Experiments
Hongtao Zhu, Sizhe Zhang, Yang Su, Zhenyu Zhao, Nan Chen