Causal Inference
Causal inference aims to determine cause-and-effect relationships from data, going beyond mere correlations to understand how interventions impact outcomes. Current research heavily focuses on addressing challenges like confounding (the influence of unobserved variables), particularly in high-dimensional data and complex treatments (e.g., text, sequences of actions), employing methods such as structural causal models, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), and various neural network architectures including Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). These advancements are crucial for improving the reliability of causal conclusions across diverse fields, from medicine and economics to personalized interventions and policy-making.
Papers
DoubleMLDeep: Estimation of Causal Effects with Multimodal Data
Sven Klaassen, Jan Teichert-Kluge, Philipp Bach, Victor Chernozhukov, Martin Spindler, Suhas Vijaykumar
Explaining Text Classifiers with Counterfactual Representations
Pirmin Lemberger, Antoine Saillenfest
Bayesian Causal Inference with Gaussian Process Networks
Enrico Giudice, Jack Kuipers, Giusi Moffa
An Explainable AI Approach to Large Language Model Assisted Causal Model Auditing and Development
Yanming Zhang, Brette Fitzgibbon, Dino Garofolo, Akshith Kota, Eric Papenhausen, Klaus Mueller
Causal Forecasting for Pricing
Douglas Schultz, Johannes Stephan, Julian Sieber, Trudie Yeh, Manuel Kunz, Patrick Doupe, Tim Januschowski