Conservative Value Estimation

Conservative value estimation focuses on mitigating overestimation in machine learning models, particularly in reinforcement learning and related areas like automatic speech recognition, by producing lower-bound estimates of values or likelihoods. Current research emphasizes techniques like conservative Q-learning, density estimation, and data filtering to address the challenges of out-of-distribution data and improve robustness, often leveraging neural networks and Bayesian methods. This work is crucial for enhancing the reliability and safety of AI systems in applications ranging from robotics and autonomous driving to natural language processing, where overconfidence can lead to undesirable or even dangerous outcomes.

Papers