Forecasting Model
Time series forecasting models aim to predict future values based on historical data, a crucial task across diverse fields from finance and energy to healthcare and environmental science. Current research emphasizes improving accuracy and robustness through advanced architectures like transformers, recurrent neural networks (RNNs, including LSTMs), and hybrid models combining machine learning with statistical methods, often incorporating external data sources like news or market indicators to enhance predictive power. These advancements are significant because accurate forecasting enables better resource allocation, risk management, and informed decision-making in various sectors, ultimately leading to improved efficiency and outcomes.
Papers
Recommendations for Comprehensive and Independent Evaluation of Machine Learning-Based Earth System Models
Paul A. Ullrich, Elizabeth A. Barnes, William D. Collins, Katherine Dagon, Shiheng Duan, Joshua Elms, Jiwoo Lee, L. Ruby Leung, Dan Lu, Maria J. Molina, Travis A. O'Brien
Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok, Étienne Marcotte, Valentina Zantedeschi, Jithendaraa Subramanian, Roland Riachi, James Requeima, Alexandre Lacoste, Irina Rish, Nicolas Chapados, Alexandre Drouin
FreDF: Learning to Forecast in Frequency Domain
Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Zhichao Chen, Degui Yang, Sen Zhang, Yifei Yang, Xinggao Liu, Haoxuan Li, Dacheng Tao
Minusformer: Improving Time Series Forecasting by Progressively Learning Residuals
Daojun Liang, Haixia Zhang, Dongfeng Yuan, Bingzheng Zhang, Minggao Zhang