Opinion Prediction

Opinion prediction research focuses on leveraging computational methods, primarily large language models (LLMs), to accurately forecast individual or collective opinions on various topics. Current efforts concentrate on improving model accuracy through techniques like prompt engineering (including evolutionary optimization), incorporating user-specific attributes (explicit and implicit personas) into reasoning chains, and integrating survey data to enhance training and prediction capabilities. This field is significant for its potential to improve social science research by enabling more efficient data analysis and prediction of societal trends, while also raising important ethical considerations regarding privacy and bias in AI-driven opinion analysis.

Papers