Regime Switching

Regime switching, the study of systems transitioning between distinct behavioral states, aims to identify these shifts and model the dynamics within each regime. Current research focuses on developing algorithms, such as Bayesian methods, differentiable particle filters, and Wasserstein k-means clustering, to detect regime changes in diverse time series data, including financial markets and complex dynamical systems. These advancements improve prediction accuracy and offer insights into the underlying causal structures driving regime transitions, impacting fields ranging from finance and robotics to climate modeling and systems biology. The development of robust and efficient methods for regime detection and modeling is crucial for understanding and predicting the behavior of complex, non-stationary systems.

Papers