Relevant Covariates
Relevant covariates are variables that influence an outcome of interest, and identifying and effectively incorporating them into models is crucial for accurate prediction and causal inference. Current research focuses on developing methods to handle high-dimensional covariates, address covariate shift (changes in covariate distribution between training and testing data), and account for confounding effects, employing techniques like deep learning (e.g., LSTMs, Transformers, and VAEs), random forests, and various penalized regression methods. This work is significant because accurately modeling covariates improves the reliability of predictions across diverse fields, from healthcare and finance to power systems and biometrics, leading to more informed decision-making and better understanding of complex systems.
Papers
Bayesian Counterfactual Prediction Models for HIV Care Retention with Incomplete Outcome and Covariate Information
Arman Oganisian, Joseph Hogan, Edwin Sang, Allison DeLong, Ben Mosong, Hamish Fraser, Ann Mwangi
Joint Estimation of Conditional Mean and Covariance for Unbalanced Panels
Damir Filipovic, Paul Schneider