Robust Conformal Prediction

Robust conformal prediction aims to create statistically guaranteed prediction sets—intervals or sets of possible outcomes—that reliably contain the true value, even when facing data imperfections or adversarial attacks. Current research focuses on adapting conformal prediction methods for various model architectures, including graph neural networks and deep learning models, and addressing challenges like distribution shifts and data contamination through techniques such as weighted conformal prediction and robust training procedures. This work is crucial for building trustworthy AI systems by providing reliable uncertainty quantification, improving the reliability of predictions in high-stakes applications, and enhancing the robustness of machine learning models to real-world data variations.

Papers

November 7, 2024

Game-Theoretic Defenses for Robust Conformal Prediction Against Adversarial Attacks in Medical Imaging
Rui Luo, Jie Bao, Zhixin Zhou, Chuangyin Dang
Adversarial Attack Adversarial Robustness Medical Imaging Adversarial Environment Robust Conformal Prediction Security Game

September 20, 2024

Neurosymbolic Conformal Classification
Arthur Ledaguenel, Céline Hudelot, Mostepha Khouadjia
Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence Neurosymbolic AI Confidence Set Neurosymbolic Framework Robust Conformal Prediction

September 18, 2024

Conformal Fields from Neural Networks
James Halverson, Joydeep Naskar, Jiahua Tian
Neural Network Conformal FRP@TPR95 Metric Robust Conformal Prediction

August 25, 2024

RoCP-GNN: Robust Conformal Prediction for Graph Neural Networks in Node-Classification
S. Akansha
Graph Neural Network Conformal Prediction Node Classification GNN Cl Robust Conformal Prediction

July 10, 2024

Split Conformal Prediction under Data Contamination
Jase Clarkson, Wenkai Xu, Mihai Cucuringu, Gesine Reinert
Native Robustness Conformal Prediction Data Contamination Split Conformal Prediction Robust Conformal Prediction

June 8, 2024

Robust Conformal Prediction Using Privileged Information
Shai Feldman, Yaniv Romano
Synthetic Data Conformal Prediction Prediction Set Theoretical Guarantee Privileged Information Reliable Prediction Robust Conformal Prediction

May 29, 2024

Verifiably Robust Conformal Prediction
Linus Jeary, Tom Kuipers, Mehran Hosseini, Nicola Paoletti
Adversarial Attack Adversarial Perturbation Conformal Prediction Prediction Set Robust Conformal Prediction

May 20, 2024

Conditional Shift-Robust Conformal Prediction for Graph Neural Network
S. Akansha
Graph Neural Network Conformal Prediction Graph Structured Data Conditional Reasoning GNN Prediction Robust Conformal Prediction Conditional Shift

April 30, 2024

Provably Robust Conformal Prediction with Improved Efficiency
Ge Yan, Yaniv Romano, Tsui-Wei Weng
High Efficiency Conformal Prediction Robust Conformal Prediction

March 22, 2024

Robust Conformal Prediction under Distribution Shift via Physics-Informed Structural Causal Model
Rui Xu, Yue Sun, Chao Chen, Parv Venkitasubramaniam, Sihong Xie
Distribution Shift Conformal Prediction Structural Causal Model Cumulative Distribution Function Conformal Score Robust Conformal Prediction Stein Coverage

March 17, 2024

COLEP: Certifiably Robust Learning-Reasoning Conformal Prediction via Probabilistic Circuits
Mintong Kang, Nezihe Merve Gürel, Linyi Li, Bo Li
Conformal Prediction Probabilistic Circuit Robust Conformal Prediction

November 16, 2023

Robust Conformal Prediction for STL Runtime Verification under Distribution Shift
Yiqi Zhao, Bardh Hoxha, Georgios Fainekos, Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh, Lars Lindemann
Distribution Shift Cyber Physical System Signal Temporal Logic Probabilistic Guarantee Runtime Verification Robust Conformal Prediction

July 31, 2023

Probabilistically robust conformal prediction
Subhankar Ghosh, Yuanjie Shi, Taha Belkhouja, Yan Yan, Jana Doppa, Brian Jones
Native Robustness Adversarial Perturbation Conformal Prediction Probabilistic Model Robust Conformal Prediction

January 16, 2020

Conformal e-prediction
Vladimir Vovk
Conformal Prediction Robust Conformal Prediction