State of the Art Forecasting
State-of-the-art forecasting research focuses on improving the accuracy and robustness of predictions across diverse domains, from financial markets and climate modeling to traffic flow and network security. Current efforts concentrate on developing advanced model architectures, including transformers, recurrent neural networks (RNNs), and graph neural networks (GNNs), often incorporating techniques like flow matching, variational mode decomposition, and disentangled dependency encoding to better capture complex temporal and spatial relationships within data. These advancements are crucial for enhancing decision-making in various sectors, particularly where accurate predictions of future events are essential for risk mitigation and resource optimization. Furthermore, research emphasizes improving the interpretability and efficiency of forecasting models, addressing challenges like data scarcity and out-of-distribution generalization.
Papers
Analysis and Forecasting of the Dynamics of a Floating Wind Turbine Using Dynamic Mode Decomposition
Giorgio Palma, Andrea Bardazzi, Alessia Lucarelli, Chiara Pilloton, Andrea Serani, Claudio Lugni, Matteo Diez
Machine learning-driven Anomaly Detection and Forecasting for Euclid Space Telescope Operations
Pablo Gómez, Roland D. Vavrek, Guillermo Buenadicha, John Hoar, Sandor Kruk, Jan Reerink
Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok, Étienne Marcotte, Valentina Zantedeschi, Jithendaraa Subramanian, Roland Riachi, James Requeima, Alexandre Lacoste, Irina Rish, Nicolas Chapados, Alexandre Drouin
Large Language Models for Financial Aid in Financial Time-series Forecasting
Md Khairul Islam, Ayush Karmacharya, Timothy Sue, Judy Fox
TripCast: Pre-training of Masked 2D Transformers for Trip Time Series Forecasting
Yuhua Liao, Zetian Wang, Peng Wei, Qiangqiang Nie, Zhenhua Zhang
Forecasting Opioid Incidents for Rapid Actionable Data for Opioid Response in Kentucky
Aaron D. Mullen, Daniel Harris, Peter Rock, Svetla Slavova, Jeffery Talbert, V.K. Cody Bumgardner
Disease Outbreak Detection and Forecasting: A Review of Methods and Data Sources
Ghazaleh Babanejaddehaki, Aijun An, Manos Papagelis
Future-Guided Learning: A Predictive Approach To Enhance Time-Series Forecasting
Skye Gunasekaran, Assel Kembay, Hugo Ladret, Rui-Jie Zhu, Laurent Perrinet, Omid Kavehei, Jason Eshraghian
A Prompt Refinement-based Large Language Model for Metro Passenger Flow Forecasting under Delay Conditions
Ping Huang, Yuxin He, Hao Wang, Jingjing Chen, Qin Luo