State of the Art Forecasting
State-of-the-art forecasting research focuses on improving the accuracy and robustness of predictions across diverse domains, from financial markets and climate modeling to traffic flow and network security. Current efforts concentrate on developing advanced model architectures, including transformers, recurrent neural networks (RNNs), and graph neural networks (GNNs), often incorporating techniques like flow matching, variational mode decomposition, and disentangled dependency encoding to better capture complex temporal and spatial relationships within data. These advancements are crucial for enhancing decision-making in various sectors, particularly where accurate predictions of future events are essential for risk mitigation and resource optimization. Furthermore, research emphasizes improving the interpretability and efficiency of forecasting models, addressing challenges like data scarcity and out-of-distribution generalization.
Papers
Distribution-aware Online Continual Learning for Urban Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Chengxin Wang, Gary Tan, Swagato Barman Roy, Beng Chin Ooi
LeMoLE: LLM-Enhanced Mixture of Linear Experts for Time Series Forecasting
Lingzheng Zhang, Lifeng Shen, Yimin Zheng, Shiyuan Piao, Ziyue Li, Fugee Tsung
Beyond Data Scarcity: A Frequency-Driven Framework for Zero-Shot Forecasting
Liran Nochumsohn, Michal Moshkovitz, Orly Avner, Dotan Di Castro, Omri Azencot
Spatiotemporal Decoupling for Efficient Vision-Based Occupancy Forecasting
Jingyi Xu, Xieyuanli Chen, Junyi Ma, Jiawei Huang, Jintao Xu, Yue Wang, Ling Pei
REFOL: Resource-Efficient Federated Online Learning for Traffic Flow Forecasting
Qingxiang Liu, Sheng Sun, Yuxuan Liang, Xiaolong Xu, Min Liu, Muhammad Bilal, Yuwei Wang, Xujing Li, Yu Zheng
Forecasting Future International Events: A Reliable Dataset for Text-Based Event Modeling
Daehoon Gwak, Junwoo Park, Minho Park, Chaehun Park, Hyunchan Lee, Edward Choi, Jaegul Choo
Analysis and Forecasting of the Dynamics of a Floating Wind Turbine Using Dynamic Mode Decomposition
Giorgio Palma, Andrea Bardazzi, Alessia Lucarelli, Chiara Pilloton, Andrea Serani, Claudio Lugni, Matteo Diez
Machine learning-driven Anomaly Detection and Forecasting for Euclid Space Telescope Operations
Pablo Gómez, Roland D. Vavrek, Guillermo Buenadicha, John Hoar, Sandor Kruk, Jan Reerink