Uncertainty Quantification
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) aims to assess and represent the confidence in predictions made by machine learning models, crucial for high-stakes applications where reliable predictions are paramount. Current research focuses on developing robust UQ methods, particularly addressing biases in predictions and efficiently quantifying uncertainty in large language models and deep neural networks, often employing techniques like conformal prediction, Bayesian methods, and ensemble learning. The ability to reliably quantify uncertainty enhances the trustworthiness and applicability of machine learning across diverse fields, from healthcare diagnostics and autonomous driving to climate modeling and drug discovery.
Papers
Incorporating uncertainty quantification into travel mode choice modeling: a Bayesian neural network (BNN) approach and an uncertainty-guided active survey framework
Shuwen Zheng, Zhou Fang, Liang Zhao
A Rate-Distortion View of Uncertainty Quantification
Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou, Benjamin Eysenbach, Frank Nielsen, Artur Dubrawski
Between Randomness and Arbitrariness: Some Lessons for Reliable Machine Learning at Scale
A. Feder Cooper
Flexible Heteroscedastic Count Regression with Deep Double Poisson Networks
Spencer Young, Porter Jenkins, Lonchao Da, Jeff Dotson, Hua Wei
Generative vs. Discriminative modeling under the lens of uncertainty quantification
Elouan Argouarc'h, François Desbouvries, Eric Barat, Eiji Kawasaki
Assessment of Uncertainty Quantification in Universal Differential Equations
Nina Schmid, David Fernandes del Pozo, Willem Waegeman, Jan Hasenauer
On Subjective Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration in Natural Language Generation
Ziyu Wang, Chris Holmes
Stochastic full waveform inversion with deep generative prior for uncertainty quantification
Yuke Xie, Hervé Chauris, Nicolas Desassis
Winner-takes-all learners are geometry-aware conditional density estimators
Victor Letzelter, David Perera, Cédric Rommel, Mathieu Fontaine, Slim Essid, Gael Richard, Patrick Pérez