Paper ID: 2205.09422

Inferring extended summary causal graphs from observational time series

Charles K. Assaad, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier

This study addresses the problem of learning an extended summary causal graph on time series. The algorithms we propose fit within the well-known constraint-based framework for causal discovery and make use of information-theoretic measures to determine (in)dependencies between time series. We first introduce generalizations of the causation entropy measure to any lagged or instantaneous relations, prior to using this measure to construct extended summary causal graphs by adapting two well-known algorithms, namely PC and FCI. The behavior of our methods is illustrated through several experiments run on simulated and real datasets.

Submitted: May 19, 2022