Paper ID: 2304.04307

PriorCVAE: scalable MCMC parameter inference with Bayesian deep generative modelling

Elizaveta Semenova, Prakhar Verma, Max Cairney-Leeming, Arno Solin, Samir Bhatt, Seth Flaxman

Recent advances have shown that GP priors, or their finite realisations, can be encoded using deep generative models such as variational autoencoders (VAEs). These learned generators can serve as drop-in replacements for the original priors during MCMC inference. While this approach enables efficient inference, it loses information about the hyperparameters of the original models, and consequently makes inference over hyperparameters impossible and the learned priors indistinct. To overcome this limitation, we condition the VAE on stochastic process hyperparameters. This allows the joint encoding of hyperparameters with GP realizations and their subsequent estimation during inference. Further, we demonstrate that our proposed method, PriorCVAE, is agnostic to the nature of the models which it approximates, and can be used, for instance, to encode solutions of ODEs. It provides a practical tool for approximate inference and shows potential in real-life spatial and spatiotemporal applications.

Submitted: Apr 9, 2023