Paper ID: 2405.03130

Deep Learning for Causal Inference: A Comparison of Architectures for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation

Demetrios Papakostas, Andrew Herren, P. Richard Hahn, Francisco Castillo

Causal inference has gained much popularity in recent years, with interests ranging from academic, to industrial, to educational, and all in between. Concurrently, the study and usage of neural networks has also grown profoundly (albeit at a far faster rate). What we aim to do in this blog write-up is demonstrate a Neural Network causal inference architecture. We develop a fully connected neural network implementation of the popular Bayesian Causal Forest algorithm, a state of the art tree based method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects. We compare our implementation to existing neural network causal inference methodologies, showing improvements in performance in simulation settings. We apply our method to a dataset examining the effect of stress on sleep.

Submitted: May 6, 2024