Mantis: Lightweight Foundation Model for Time Series Classification

Adapting vision models for time series analysis is compelling, yet all existing approaches are falling short of dedicated time series foundation models (TSFMs) in classification. In this work, we propose Time Vision Transformer (TiViT), the first framework that successfully unlocks the representational power of frozen Vision Transformers (ViTs) pretrained on large-scale image datasets for time series classification. TiViT achieves state-of-the-art performance without any finetuning by utilizing the hidden representations of OpenCLIP models. We explore the structure of TiViT representations and find that intermediate ViT layers with high intrinsic dimension are the most effective for time series classification. Furthermore, we assess the alignment between TiViT and TSFM representation spaces and identify a strong complementarity, with additional performance gains achieved through feature concatenation. Finally, we unfreeze the ViT backbone of TiViT for continual pretraining and contrastive alignment with TSFMs on time series, enhancing the performance of lightweight TiViT variants. Our findings reveal a new direction for the domain and task adaptation of vision foundation models. Code is available at https://github.com/ExplainableML/TiViT.

While Next-Token Prediction (NTP) has unified LLM pretraining, its adaptation to unbounded, continuous time series (TS) remains open. To bridge the gap, we introduce UniTok, a universal tokenizer that transforms TS into discrete tokens, and UniTok-FM, a foundation model pretrained via NTP on these tokens. UniTok-FM is a general-purpose foundation model that supports zero-shot and prompt-boosted forecasting, as well as few-shot generation and classification via training-free in-context inference--a capability not achieved by prior works. Technically, UniTok is a vector-quantized autoencoder incorporating prefix normalization for scale stabilization, a progressive-resolution causal architecture for encoding and decoding, and a structure-preserving reconstruction loss for training. UniTok-FM adopts an off-the-shelf LLM architecture without TS-specific modifications. Instead of pretraining on isolated TS, it performs NTP on context windows formed by multiple series with similar patterns, aiming to capture their shared dynamics. Experiments on forecasting, generation, and classification show that a single unified UniTok-FM consistently outperforms statistical and supervised baselines, achieves competitive performance with task-specific foundation models, and uniquely enables training-free in-context inference across tasks.

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) leverage extensive pretraining to accurately predict unseen time series during inference, without the need for task-specific fine-tuning. Through large-scale evaluations on standard benchmarks, we find that leading transformer-based TSFMs exhibit redundant components in their intermediate layers. We introduce a set of tools for mechanistic interpretability of TSFMs, including ablations of specific components and direct logit attribution on the residual stream. Our findings are consistent across several leading TSFMs with diverse architectures, and across a diverse set of real-world and synthetic time-series datasets. We discover that all models in our study are robust to ablations of entire layers. Furthermore, we develop a theoretical framework framing transformers as kernel regressors, motivating a purely intrinsic strategy for ablating heads based on the stable rank of the per-head projection matrices. Using this approach, we uncover the specific heads responsible for degenerate phenomena widely observed in TSFMs, such as parroting of motifs from the context and seasonality bias. Our study sheds light on the universal properties of this emerging class of architectures for continuous-time sequence modeling.