The Challenge of Identifying the Origin of Black-Box Large Language Models

As large language models (LLMs) become widely deployed, their outputs can be copied, transformed, and redistributed at scale without reliable evidence of origin, creating risks for trust, accountability, intellectual property (IP) protection, and high-stakes decision-making. LLM watermarking addresses this problem by embedding detectable signals into text during or after generation. However, existing methods vary in design assumptions, threat models, and evaluation criteria, while deployment choices such as watermark placement, detection authority, and key management affect reliability, security, and scalability. This paper systematizes LLM watermarking as provenance infrastructure for large-scale data ecosystems. We organize existing approaches along four deployment dimensions: insertion point, verification authority, operational state, and transformation threat model, and relate them to the big data requirements of Volume, Velocity, Variety, Veracity, and Value. We further introduce a Big Data Watermarking Readiness framework centered on four deployment workloads: online generation, streaming detection, transformation pipelines, and ecosystem governance. The framework connects these workloads to system-level requirements including throughput, false-positive control, robustness, cross-domain reliability, governance, and downstream utility. Our analysis highlights a gap between benchmark performance and deployment readiness: false positives accumulate at scale, repeated transformations weaken watermark signals, computational overhead can limit online deployment, and centralized verification can create governance bottlenecks. We conclude with an evaluation blueprint and research directions for scalable, trustworthy provenance in big data ecosystems.

Large Language Models (LLMs) utilize large amounts of data for their training, some of which may come from copyrighted sources. Membership Inference Attacks (MIA) aim to detect those documents and whether they have been included in the training corpora of the LLMs. The black-box MIAs require a significant amount of data manipulation; therefore, their comparison is often challenging. We study state-of-the-art (SOTA) MIAs under the black-box assumptions and compare them to each other using a unified set of datasets to determine if any of them can reliably detect membership under SOTA LLMs. In addition, a new method, called the Familiarity Ranking, was developed to showcase a possible approach to black-box MIAs, thereby giving LLMs more freedom in their expression to understand their reasoning better. The results indicate that none of the methods are capable of reliably detecting membership in LLMs, as shown by an AUC-ROC of approximately 0.5 for all methods across several LLMs. The higher TPR and FPR for more advanced LLMs indicate higher reasoning and generalizing capabilities, showcasing the difficulty of detecting membership in LLMs using black-box MIAs.

Proprietary large language models (LLMs) face risks of intellectual property (IP) violation, as adversaries can replicate an LLM by collecting input-output pairs to train a surrogate model, causing financial setbacks. Watermarks offer a promising defense to verify ownership, but existing methods often struggle with semantic distortion, factual inconsistency, and adversarial attacks. In addition, key-conditioned watermarks for provider-specific detection, especially in cross-provider and multi-user scenarios, remain largely underexplored. To address these challenges, we propose SAFESEAL, a novel key-conditioned watermarking framework that achieves strong detectability with minimal impact on model utility, effectively balancing detectability, utility, and robustness. SAFESEAL preserves named entities while substituting linguistic terms with context-aware synonyms through a key-conditioned Tournament sampling mechanism, maintaining semantic fidelity and factual consistency. For detection, we introduce a key-conditioned contrastive detector that jointly encodes the text and key, enabling provider-specific and robust watermark verification. We derive theoretical bounds on the utility-detectability trade-off and significantly reduce latency through lightweight models, batching, and parallelism. Extensive experiments show that SAFESEAL outperforms baselines in utility, detectability, and robustness, achieving a BERTScore of 0.983, entity similarity of 0.963, a 98.2% detection rate, and the highest human ratings for text quality and content preservation, with latency comparable to the fastest baseline. To promote transparency and community-driven progress, we release the first public watermark leaderboard and an interactive demo.