Quantum Bayesian Networks Can Speed up Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Environments

Quantum reinforcement learning (QRL) is a promising approach to learn effective decision strategies across several applications with stochastic environments. Instead of directly modeling the random variables that govern these environments, existing QRL architectures indirectly approximate environment behavior by estimating expected outcomes, which limits their expressive power and adaptive potential. Overcoming such challenges requires a novel QRL approach that exploits the distributional nature of quantum computers to directly model environment random variables as quantum state distributions. Hence, in this paper, a novel framework dubbed quantum-native reinforcement learning (QnRL) is proposed. QnRL is a distributional RL framework that learns conditional distributions naturally in Hilbert space via superimposed and entangled quantum states. Thus, QnRL can directly model the behavior of stochastic learning environments via the natural properties of quantum systems. QnRL accomplishes this via a novel, proposed quantum amplitude kickback (QuAK) algorithm that enables comparing the $n$-th power of the $m$-th moment of multiple superimposed distributions. It is theoretically proven that a conditional action policy distribution is distilled from the moments of a quantum generative model entirely within Hilbert space via QuAK, and optimized via QnRL. This complex distribution composition is also shown to provide extra dimensions for expressing environment correlations that are unknown to purely classical and classically-sampled quantum distributional models. Experimental results across diverse environments show that QnRL achieves up to $82.9\%$ higher evaluation scores, with up to $94.3\%$ fewer parameters on average, more accurately estimates the expected return for unseen observations, and better adapts to varying stochastic conditions compared to the baseline.

Reinforcement learning is a subfield of machine learning that studies how an agent interacts with an environment in order to extract as large a reward as possible. A standard approach to study such interaction is through Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and the task of choosing an optimal policy --- a function that tells the agent which action to take. In this work, we study two types of MDPs --- finite-horizon and infinite-horizon discounted --- and propose new quantum algorithms for computing approximate optimal policies. Our quantum algorithms are based on a new combination of standard value iteration and quantum subroutines like quantum mean estimation and quantum maximum finding, overall enhanced with techniques from sample-optimal classical algorithms. Our resulting query complexities improve upon previous works, thus approaching already established quantum lower bounds.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a sequential decision-making framework in which an agent learns optimal policies through interaction with an environment by maximizing cumulative rewards. Among RL methods, Bayesian Reinforcement Learning (BRL) addresses common practical challenges related to data scarcity by leveraging prior knowledge about the environment and sequential belief updates. However, most BRL approaches require an explicit likelihood function, which is frequently inaccessible or intractable in real-world settings. We propose Likelihood-Free Iterated Batch Importance Sampling (LF-IBIS), a novel algorithm for BRL that updates the agent's beliefs online as new interactions become available. By combining Approximate Bayesian Computation with Iterated Batch Importance Sampling, LF-IBIS enables full Bayesian inference in settings where the environment dynamics are not described by an explicit or tractable likelihood. The method yields approximate posterior distributions over both environment parameters and optimal policies, providing a quantification of policy uncertainty useful for a Bayesian treatment of the exploration-exploitation trade-off. We test the method on a simulation study in response-adaptive randomization in clinical trials, where closed-form posteriors enable validation. Additional experiments address settings where the posterior has no closed form and illustrate online policy updating based on the posterior distribution of the optimal policy.