Semantic Substrate Dynamics Theory: An Operator-Theoretic Framework for Geometric Semantic Drift

We present a novel application of embedding-based dynamic topic modeling techniques to detect and quantify topic drift at the comment level in a massive corpus. By leveraging pretrained language models to generate contextualized semantic embeddings for short text, we analyzed 12.7 billion Reddit comments spanning 2006 to 2022. Using unsupervised methods on these embeddings, we identify dynamically evolving topic clusters over time. Our primary contribution is a methodology for analysis of semantic drift and discourse evolution in the embedding space itself. We also demonstrate modifications to existing methods that enable this analysis at scale, and we propose and demonstrate a null model comparison test to filter spurious dynamics. Key findings suggest that politically and socially contentious topics exhibit significant directional drift in embedding space, with inter-topic distances changing systematically over time beyond what the null model can explain, whereas domains such as music and sports remain comparatively stable.

Residual-stream analysis asks how language-model computation evolves across depth, but intermediate decoding requires comparable readout coordinates across layers. If embedding anchors and unembedding readout disagree on the chosen span, apparent motion may reflect measurement drift rather than computation. We introduce Semantic Reference Frames (SemRF), an anchor-based formalism separating semantic measurement from residual dynamics. A SemRF fixes anchors and measures states against them. Pseudo-inverse tying gives exact synchronization; under restricted bi-invertibility, SemRF yields stable semantic-basis coordinates, distortion bounds, and near-identity changes. With the frame fixed, residual computation becomes a depthwise semantic trajectory. The anchors induce a semantic Voronoi diagram: distance, or evidence such as logits, assigns each layer to a coarse cell, while coordinates retain within-cell motion and margins. We define layerwise steps, contribution profiles, and imbalance diagnostics, then use the Voronoi trace to define a margin-relaxed tube. The canonical trace is the minimum-action path inside this tube; when nonempty with positive quadratic weight, it is unique and obeys a discrete spline equation away from active constraints. Excess action controls step, curvature, and profile mismatch. Low curvature implies piecewise-linear compressibility and local knowledge density: lower trace complexity means fewer semantic knots. Through the parameter-to-trajectory map, this gives a conditional link to parameter efficiency: among admissible settings fitting data, lower-action and lower-complexity traces use fewer semantic degrees of freedom. The guarantees require controlled interface error and small projection residual under explicit tube constraints.

Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs) achieve high-fidelity synthesis but suffer from latent space brittleness, causing discontinuous semantic jumps during editing. We introduce a Riemannian framework to diagnose this instability by analyzing the generative Jacobian, decomposing geometry into Local Scaling (capacity) and Local Complexity (curvature). Our study uncovers a **Geometric Decoupling"**: while curvature in normal generation functionally encodes image detail, OOD generation exhibits a functional decoupling where extreme curvature is wasted on unstable semantic boundaries rather than perceptible details. This geometric misallocation identifies Geometric Hotspots" as the structural root of instability, providing a robust intrinsic metric for diagnosing generative reliability.