Adaptive Combinatorial Experimental Design: Pareto Optimality for Decision-Making and Inference

Adversarial multi-objective bandits hold the potential to help us optimize choices (arms) whose reward is a multidimensional vector chosen by an adversary and whose performance is measured by Pareto regret. We define loss as one minus reward and measure the easiness of a coordinate by the smallest cumulative loss of the arms on it, and call the coordinate easier when this quantity is smaller. Existing work suggests that in theory an easier coordinate may reduce Pareto regret. However, in practice, one may not know which coordinate is easier. On the negative side, we show that this lack of information eliminates the possibility: a smaller cumulative loss does not improve the worst-case order of Pareto regret. Precisely, let $L_d$ be the smallest cumulative loss along coordinate $d$ over $T$ rounds. For $K\ge4$ arms, $T\ge6$ rounds, and at least 2 coordinates, we prove that the minimax expected Pareto regret is $Ω(\min\{T-L_0,\sqrt{K(T-L_0)}\})$. It is monotonically decreasing in $L_0$, even when $L_0=\min_d L_d$ itself is known. On the positive side, this result motivates the possibility that other coordinates, not just the easy one, may suffice to attain the optimal rate of Pareto regret. When $L_0$ is known, we apply Poly-INF to a fixed coordinate and obtain an upper bound on Pareto regret that exhibits the same order and thus matches the lower bound. Without such knowledge, we develop a reward-doubling version of Poly-INF that adapts to this unknown quantity while still attaining the matching minimax rate. Another implication is that it has no extra $\log T$ factor and is independent of the number of coordinates.

We study multi-armed bandits (MAB) with multiple optimal arms, motivated by the fact that many practical decision making problems admit multiple correct answers. For $K$-armed bandits with $A$ optimal arms, we first provide a sharper analysis of previous sub-sampling algorithms (De Heide et al., 2021; Zhu and Nowak, 2020), establishing a $\tilde{O}\Big(\frac{K-A}{\sqrt{KA}}\sqrt{T} \Big)$ minimax regret, where $T$ is the total number of interactions and $\tilde O(\cdot)$ drops all constant and logarithmic factors, improving the previous $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{KT/A})$ regret. We then provide a matching lower bound up to logarithmic factors, indicating that our established rate is nearly minimax-optimal. We further show that the knowledge of $A$ up to $\tilde{O}(1)$ factors is necessary to achieve near-optimal regret, as near-optimal algorithms for one number of optimal arms must incur substantially larger regret than optimal regret for a smaller number. Overall, our results provide a comprehensive minimax characterization of $K$-armed bandits with $A$ over the entire range of $1 \leq A \leq K-1$.

Selective ensemble for modern machine learning systems requires choosing promising model candidates under limited evaluation budgets, while downstream tasks often specify only partial preferences over capabilities such as accuracy, robustness, and reasoning. This setting naturally gives rise to a sequential decision problem under partially specified linear preferences. We formalize it as preference-directed multi-objective bandits (PDMOB), where admissible trade-offs are represented by a polyhedral preference cone. Based on this formulation, we introduce Pareto $C$-optimality, which recovers standard Pareto optimality and single-weight scalarization as special cases. We then propose the preference-directed upper confidence bound (PrefUCB) algorithm, which maintains directional confidence intervals to guide exploration. We analyze both indicator-based and gap-weighted regret, and establish instance-dependent logarithmic bounds for both criteria, recovering the optimal logarithmic dependence on the horizon $T$ in classical special cases. Experiments on large pre-trained model selective ensemble tasks and online asset allocation under institutional mandates validate the efficacy of our method.