SEALing the Gap: A Reference Framework for LLM Inference Carbon Estimation via Multi-Benchmark Driven Embodiment

The carbon footprint of any deployed Large Language Model (LLM) accumulates during inference, where repeated use of the model substantially exceeds the one-time cost of fine-tuning. Yet most efficiency interventions target either pre-training scale or post-hoc compression. We ask whether folding a calibrated, differentiable energy surrogate into the fine-tuning objective can produce inference behavior that gains task accuracy at zero or near-zero carbon cost, a break-even configuration. We propose a joint loss mechanism with a per-model carbon-emission parameter, a linear surrogate over parameter norm, FLOP proxy, and a memory proxy, fit from on-hardware energy profiling. We fine-tune three architecturally distinct families: Gemma-2 2B, Llama-3.1 8B, and Qwen-2.5 14B, and evaluate inference F1 and CO$_2$ emissions on three MMLU subjects: abstract algebra, philosophy, and formal logic. We discover from several outcomes that the carbon term behaves as either harmful interference or beneficial regularization depending on the task structure. We position calibrated carbon-aware fine-tuning as a lightweight, drop-in regularizer with a non-empty but model and task-dependent break-even region. This is an ongoing work, and we will release our codebase soon.

As the capabilities and ubiquity of Large Language Models (LLMs) grow, so does their environmental footprint. Despite calls for responsible AI, the machine learning community lacks standardised practices for carbon accounting. Our automated literature review of the 5,285 papers accepted to NeurIPS 2025 reveals that reporting of environmental impact is nearly non-existent. To catalyse a shift toward sustainable AI, we define standardised sustainability metrics for evaluating model training efficiency, accompanied by simple heuristics to estimate the carbon cost of LLM inference. We implement these metrics in carbonbenchmark, a drop-in software solution for tracking and reporting emissions. Finally, to combat the pursuit of marginal accuracy gains at disproportionate environmental costs, we formalise the Smallest Model that Achieves the Job' (SMAJ), a framework which challenges the field to prioritise computational efficiency and environmental accountability alongside traditional State-of-the-Art' (SotA) accuracy.

Large language model (LLM) sustainability is increasingly a serving-systems problem, not only a training problem. In production, energy and carbon impact depend on more than model size: workload shape, batching, key-value (KV) cache reuse, prefill/decode placement, model and accelerator choice, power state, geographic carbon intensity, and service-level objectives (SLOs) all matter. Recent systems papers study many of these factors separately. This paper connects those results and asks a practical engineering question: what do they imply when the decision point is a distributed inference control plane such as llm-d? The contribution here is synthesis, not a new set of benchmark results. Reported performance, energy, carbon, and cost improvements remain the results of the cited papers and systems. I group the literature into recurring design patterns and use those patterns to sketch a Sustainable Inference Control Plane (SICP) for llm-d. The proposed control plane would consider latency, energy, carbon, cache reuse, serving cost, and quality when routing and scaling, while keeping TTFT/TPOT SLOs as hard constraints. I also outline an evaluation framework based on SLO-satisfied goodput per joule and per gram CO2e, together with a reproducible experimental plan. The main observation from connecting the literature is that sustainable LLM inference is unlikely to come from one "green" model or one accelerator; it is more naturally treated as a control problem across model, phase, cache, hardware, replica, region, and time.