Momentum SVGD-EM for Accelerated Maximum Marginal Likelihood Estimation

Minimum maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) estimation has emerged as a robust and likelihood-free alternative to maximum likelihood estimation for parameter estimation. Yet, despite its practical success, the associated optimization problem remains poorly understood, with theoretical guarantees for existing algorithms hinging on convexity assumptions that rarely hold in practice. We address this gap by proposing a preconditioned gradient descent (PGD) scheme, establishing its asymptotic global convergence under explicit gradient-dominance and projection-residual conditions. Our approach is inspired by recent progress on MMD gradient flows, a nonparametric descent scheme on the space of probability measures. We provide extensive empirical evidence that our PGD scheme outperforms standard gradient descent across a range of challenging parameter estimation and composite hypothesis testing problems.

Softmax Mixture Models (SMMs) are discrete $K$-component mixture models for the probabilities of selecting one of $p$ candidate feature vectors $X_1,\ldots,X_p\in\mathbb{R}^L$ in heterogeneous populations and are widely used in econometrics and scientific applications. Related softmax mixture mechanisms also appear in modern LLM architectures. We provide a theoretical and methodological study of SMMs, focusing on the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm and the Method of Moments (MoM). We show that EM recovers the mixture atoms at the parametric rate, up to logarithmic factors, after $\mathcal{O}(\log N)$ iterations, provided atom separation is at least of order $\log K$. This improves on separation conditions in existing analyses of EM for high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures. We also develop MoM procedures for parameter and subspace estimation. Although MoM parameter estimates converge more slowly than EM and can deteriorate with $K$, they provide provable warm starts for EM and are useful for small $K$. For general $K$, we estimate the atom subspace via MoM and recommend running EM from multiple random initializations within this subspace. Finally, as $p\to\infty$, we show that SMMs approximate mixtures of exponential tilts of the feature distribution, yielding asymptotic identifiability.

Many particle-based Bayesian inference methods use a single global step size for all parts of the update. In Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), however, each update combines two qualitatively different effects: attraction toward high-posterior regions and repulsion that preserves particle diversity. These effects can evolve at different rates, especially in high-dimensional, anisotropic, or hierarchical posteriors, so one step size can be unstable in some regions and inefficient in others. We derive a multirate version of SVGD that updates these components on different time scales. The framework yields practical algorithms, including a symmetric split method, a fixed multirate method (MR-SVGD), and an adaptive multirate method (Adapt-MR-SVGD) with local error control. We evaluate the methods in a broad and rigorous benchmark suite covering six problem families: a 50D Gaussian target, multiple 2D synthetic targets, UCI Bayesian logistic regression, multimodal Gaussian mixtures, Bayesian neural networks, and large-scale hierarchical logistic regression. Evaluation includes posterior-matching metrics, predictive performance, calibration quality, mixing, and explicit computational cost accounting. Across these six benchmark families, multirate SVGD variants improve robustness and quality-cost tradeoffs relative to vanilla SVGD. The strongest gains appear on stiff hierarchical, strongly anisotropic, and multimodal targets, where adaptive multirate SVGD is usually the strongest variant and fixed multirate SVGD provides a simpler robust alternative at lower cost.