DeepStock: Reinforcement Learning with Policy Regularizations for Inventory Management

We study how large language models can be used to generate inventory policies in online settings with non-stationary demand. Our work is motivated by recent advances in LLM-based evolutionary search, such as AlphaEvolve, which demonstrates strong performance on static and highly structured problems such as mathematical discovery, but is not directly suited to dynamic inventory settings with online updates. We propose InvEvolve, an end-to-end inventory policy evolution and inference framework grounded in confidence-interval-based certification. Built on a large language model trained via reinforcement learning, InvEvolve can process demand data together with additional numerical and textual features, and generates white-box inventory policies with statistical safety guarantees for future deployment. We further introduce a unified framework with theoretical guarantees that connects training, inference, and deployment. This allows us to derive a lower bound on the probability that InvEvolve evolves a statistically safe and improved policy, and to characterize the multi-period performance gap relative to the oracle-safe benchmark. Tested on both synthetic data and real-world retail data, InvEvolve outperforms classical inventory policies and deep-learning-based methods. In canonical inventory settings, it generates new policies that outperform existing benchmarks.

Many operational problems are constrained sequential decision processes with large, combinatorial action spaces and interdependent feasibility constraints. Mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) handle such constraints flexibly but scale poorly in stochastic environments. Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) promises scalable decision rules, but existing methods either penalize constraints rather than enforce them, or rely on feasibility mechanisms that break down once constraints interact. We bridge this gap by embedding a differentiable convex optimization module inside the policy: a neural network proposes continuous action targets, a quadratic program projects them onto the relaxed feasible set, and a dual-informed integer mapping restores integrality while preserving feasibility. Given a differentiable simulator, the policy trains end to end from sampled trajectories using pathwise gradients, while handling hard constraints with similar flexibility to MILPs. We show that our feasibility enforcement has bounded error relative to an exact integer projection and ensures the entire feasible action space is reachable. We apply the method to multi-echelon production-inventory planning under shared resource and material constraints. Our policy attains an average optimality gap below 1% on small instances. It further outperforms state-of-the-art echelon base-stock policies by up to 9.75% and a rolling-horizon multi-stage stochastic program by at least 7.7% in larger networks. On an industry-scale case study from ASML, it reduces average cost by up to 3.22% relative to the best-known benchmark policy. The savings are largest where planning is hardest: in tightly capacitated systems with high demand variability. More broadly, our work shows that DRL can deliver economically significant savings in sequential decision problems with interdependent hard constraints, which are widespread in practice.

Firms making inventory decisions have access to operational data, optimization tools, and large language models (LLMs). Typically, data characterize the operating environment, optimization selects parameters within a prespecified inventory policy class, and LLMs support coding and decision analysis. We develop an integrated framework that combines these resources to automate inventory policy design. Given demand data, the framework iteratively uses an LLM to generate parameterized policy classes and an external solver to optimize its parameters within each class. Across 30 lost-sales inventory instances, the mean cost reduction relative to optimized base-stock benchmarks increases from 17.5% after one generation to 30.0% after ten generations. Parameter optimization is central to this performance: an LLM-only variant performs substantially worse, whereas optimization-guided feedback improves policy quality, accelerates search, and directs the LLM toward better policy classes rather than merely better parameter values within a fixed class. The strongest discovered policies are also interpretable: they combine recognizable inventory-control motifs, including capped orders, discounted or weighted pipeline inventory, and threshold-based replenishment logic. The search thereby produces new policy-class functional forms that, to our knowledge, have not previously been studied in the lost-sales inventory literature. These functional forms are not specified ex ante but emerge from the search process. Moreover, after their parameters are re-optimized, three discovered policy classes achieve average cost reductions of 21.75% to 22.60% across 10,064 new inventory instances. Overall, the results show that data-driven parameter optimization can guide LLM-based search over a broad space of inventory policy classes and identify high-performing, interpretable, and transferable decision rules.