Inference Energy and Latency in AI-Mediated Education: A Learning-per-Watt Analysis of Edge and Cloud Models

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as backends for intelligent web services, but serving them across the edge continuum requires balancing quality, latency, model footprint, and energy. This paper presents a controlled measurement study of self-hosted LLM inference across edge and near-edge deployment nodes: an NVIDIA Jetson AGX Orin and a near-edge server with CPU-only and GPU-enabled inference modes. We evaluate multiple open-weight LLMs and quantization variants using a fixed question-answering workload, and compare them against GPT-4o as a cloud-hosted accuracy and latency reference. Our benchmarking pipeline reports accuracy, model footprint, per-token decoding latency, prefill latency, and overall execution energy. The results show that GPU-enabled server execution provides the lowest compute-side latency, while Jetson Orin shows lower measured energy, consistent with its lower platform power under our setup. CPU-only execution is consistently dominated in latency for our workload and shows higher measured energy. We also show that parameter count and downloaded weight-file size alone do not reliably predict observed accuracy or latency. Finally, using Pareto-frontier analysis, we study how deployment decisions may change under possible streamed-token delivery overheads, highlighting that compute-side inference metrics alone can lead to suboptimal placement for latency-sensitive interactive web services.

Large language model (LLM) queries are predominantly processed by frontier models in centralized cloud infrastructure. Demand growth strains this paradigm faster than providers can scale. Two advances create an opportunity to rethink it: small, local LMs (<=20B active parameters) now achieve competitive performance to frontier models on many tasks, and local accelerators (e.g., Apple M4 Max) can host these models at interactive latencies. This raises the question: can local inference viably redistribute demand from centralized infrastructure? This requires measuring both whether local LMs can accurately answer real-world queries and whether they can do so efficiently on power-constrained devices (e.g., laptops). We propose intelligence per watt (IPW), task accuracy per unit of power, as a unified metric for the capability and efficiency of local inference across model-accelerator configurations. We evaluate 20+ state-of-the-art local LMs, 8 hardware accelerators (local and cloud), and 1M real-world single-turn chat and reasoning queries. For each query, we measure accuracy (local LM win rate against frontier models), energy, latency, and power. We find three key results. First, local LMs successfully answer 88.7% of these queries, with accuracy varying by domain. Second, longitudinal analysis from 2023-2025 shows IPW improved 5.3x, driven by both algorithmic and accelerator advances, with locally-serviceable query coverage rising from 23.2% to 71.3%. Third, local accelerators achieve at least 1.4x lower IPW than cloud accelerators running identical models, revealing significant headroom for local accelerator optimization. These findings demonstrate that local inference can meaningfully redistribute demand from centralized infrastructure for a substantial subset of queries, with IPW serving as the critical metric for tracking this transition.

The rapid diffusion of generative artificial intelligence raises privacy, latency, and performance concerns that motivate a shift toward "local-first" AI, where inferences are performed on the user's device instead of on remote cloud servers. This paradigm also places a significant computational load on battery-powered smartphones, potentially shortening battery life and increasing the overall replacement rate of mobile devices. This paper presents a systematic study of the energy consumption, performance, and accuracy of on-device large language model (LLM) inference. We evaluate 18 models from different model families, sizes, and quantization levels, on two modern smartphones and on a server, using the respective state-of-the-art for such deployments. We measure the energy per generated token, inter-token latency, model accuracy, and battery-cycle consumption. Our results show that (i) on-device inference is on average 3 times less energy-efficient than batched server inference; (ii) the relationship between quantization bit-width and energy per token is non-monotonic, with energy sweet spots on both tested smartphones; (iii) eight out of 18 model configurations lie on the Pareto front of accuracy and energy-efficiency, allowing practitioners to build battery-aware model routers; and (iv) realistic modeling assumptions do not allow local inference to be less environmentally impacting per token than batched server inference, with 88--90% of that impact attributable to device embodied carbon rather than electricity consumption. These findings challenge the premise that local AI is more sustainable than cloud inference, and motivate the need for context-aware and life-cycle-aware model selection when deploying edge AI on battery-powered mobile platforms.