Stochastic approximation in non-markovian environments revisited

Establishing almost sure convergence rates for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning under Markovian noise is a fundamental theoretical challenge. We make progress towards this challenge for a class of stochastic approximation algorithms whose expected updates are contractive, a setting that arises in many reinforcement learning algorithms such as $Q$-learning and linear temporal difference learning. Specifically, for a power-law learning rate $O(n^{-η})$ with $η\in (1/2, 1)$, we obtain an almost sure convergence rate arbitrarily close to $o(n^{1 - 2η})$. For a harmonic learning rate $O(n^{-1})$, we obtain an almost sure convergence rate arbitrarily close to $o(n^{-1})$, which we argue is a strong result because it is close to the optimal rate $O(n^{-1}\log\log n)$ given by the law of the iterated logarithm (for a special case of i.i.d. noise). Key to our analysis is a novel Lyapunov drift construction that applies a Poisson-equation based correction for Markovian noise to the well-established Moreau-envelope smoothing for the contractive mapping.

Transformer models have become foundational across a wide range of scientific and engineering domains due to their strong empirical performance. A key capability underlying their success is in-context learning (ICL): when presented with a short prompt from an unseen task, transformers can perform per-token and next-token predictions without any parameter updates. Recent theoretical efforts have begun to uncover the mechanisms behind this phenomenon, particularly in supervised regression settings. However, these analyses predominantly assume stationary task distributions, which overlook a broad class of real-world scenarios where the target function varies over time. In this work, we bridge this gap by providing a theoretical analysis of ICL under non-stationary regression problems. We study how the gated linear attention (GLA) mechanism adapts to evolving input-output relationships and rigorously characterize its advantages over standard linear attention in this dynamic setting. To model non-stationarity, we adopt a first-order autoregressive process and show that GLA achieves lower training and testing errors by adaptively modulating the influence of past inputs -- effectively implementing a learnable recency bias. Our theoretical findings are further supported by empirical results, which validate the benefits of gating mechanisms in non-stationary ICL tasks.

This paper studies simple transformers trained on a high-order Markov chain, where the model must incorporate information from multiple past positions, each with different statistical importance. We show that transformers learn the task incrementally, with each stage corresponding to learning how to copy information from a subset of positions via a sparse attention pattern. Notably, the learning dynamics transition from a competitive phase, where all heads focus on the statistically most important positions, to a cooperative phase, where different heads specialize in different patterns. We model these dynamics with simplified differential equations and prove stage-wise convergence of the resulting system. Functionally, these stages correspond to a sequence of increasingly expressive misspecified models, with the full model class reached only at the end. Overall, we give a theoretical account of how structured attention patterns and head specialization emerge in stages without an explicit curriculum, with implications for generalization in sequential tasks.