Agentic Discovery with Active Hypothesis Exploration for Visual Recognition

AI-driven scientific discovery accelerates research by autonomously developing solutions and designs. Large language model (LLM) agents support this process through iterative generation and evaluation. Yet these iterations alone do not ensure cumulative progress or establish which directions to pursue next. Costly evaluation further constrains the scope of exploration. Neural architecture discovery brings these challenges together, coupling open-ended design with resource-intensive experimentation. We introduce EvoTreeNAD, a genealogy-guided evolutionary algorithm that constructs trainable architectures without a supplied seed or a hand-specified search space. Starting from an empty root, it grows a persistent genealogy in which each new node represents a complete architecture. Top-percentile values computed from each node and its descendants guide lineage selection. Using the selected design history, an Idea Agent proposes a variant and a Code Agent implements it. Each evaluated variant becomes a child node, expanding the genealogy while providing evidence for subsequent lineage selection. Our theoretical analysis establishes the existence of stationary variation regimes as the genealogy grows. Under specified variation assumptions, sustained top-percentile family values quantify the probability of generating high-reward architectures in these regimes. EvoTreeNAD discovers architectures that outperform the compared NAS and NAD baselines, achieving CIFAR-10/100 test errors of $2.05{\pm}0.06\%$ and $15.09{\pm}0.22\%$. On all six MedMNIST-v2 tasks, the discovered architectures surpass the strongest listed baselines. A controlled CIFAR-10 study further shows that EvoTreeNAD outperforms direct generation, best-of-$N$ greedy continuation, and full-family-mean routing.

Recent progress in LLM agents has advanced the prospect of autonomous research. Yet whether AI can complete difficult long-horizon tasks, especially those that advance AI research itself, remains largely unexplored. We present ASI-Arch, a system for AI-driven AI research that autonomously conducts neural architecture research through a closed-loop research-experiment-analyze-update process. Applied to linear attention, ASI-Arch ran 1,773 iterative experiments and discovered 105 state-of-the-art architectures. Its best architecture improves over DeltaNet by nearly three times the gain achieved by Mamba2. Beyond the final performance gains, we analyze the contributions of different parts of the framework in this hard research setting, shedding light on what enables autonomous progress in complex AI research tasks.

We study what happens when a single general-purpose large language model acts as the sole researcher on a long-horizon neural architecture design problem. The agent receives a scientific question, an initial hypothesis and motivation, a compute budget, and research affordances (source and experiment management, experiment tracking, literature access, and persistent memory), then autonomously proposes, implements, evaluates, and records experiments over an extended period. The study comprises three phases, separated by human-declared transitions, that progressively expand the agent's tool surface or problem scale. Across approximately 100 sequential experiments, the agent improves a non-standard Vision Transformer from a weak baseline to a stronger, efficient model on small benchmarks and a usable but sub-SOTA model on ImageNet-1K, while producing a dense behavioural trace. We report four findings.(i)Productivity exhibits a clear phase structure: rapid early gains, a multi-dozen-hypothesis saturation wall, and recovery, with recovery triggered by expanding the action surface rather than changing the underlying model.(ii)A single early hypothesis contributes more to accuracy gain, with later improvements long-tailed.(iii)The preference for greedy, incremental hypotheses is largely workflow-induced: a commit-or-discard evaluation rule is isomorphic to greedy hill-climbing; the remainder reflects risk aversion after bold failures and anchoring on familiar literature. (iv)The agent independently rediscovers established results and, in the unfamiliar regime of pure channel attention, overturns a standard design choice. We conclude that workflow design was at least as influential as agent capability in this study and propose diversified search, budgeted moonshot hypotheses, explicit forks, and regime-aware re-validation as testable directions for future autonomous research.