Whether language models can systematically generalize remains actively debated. Yet empirical performance is jointly shaped by multiple factors such as training data, training paradigms, and inference-time strategies, making failures difficult to interpret. We introduce a controlled synthetic environment based on shortest-path planning, a canonical composable sequential optimization problem. The setup enables clean separation of these factors and supports two orthogonal axes of generalization: spatial transfer to unseen maps and length scaling to longer-horizon problems. We find that models exhibit strong spatial transfer but consistently fail under length scaling due to recursive instability. We further analyze how distinct stages of the learning pipeline influence systematic problem-solving: for example, data coverage sets capability limits; reinforcement learning improves training stability but does not expand those limits; and inference-time scaling enhances performance but cannot rescue length-scaling failures.
Large Language Models (LLMs) are frequently portrayed as general-purpose solvers capable of solving arbitrary tasks. We argue that this view overlooks a fundamental constraint: language is a compressed and capacity-limited interface for conveying task information. Modelling User--System interaction as a bilevel \emph{cheap-talk} game, we analyse how latent tasks are encoded into prompts and reinterpreted under alignment and safety constraints. We introduce a conceptual decomposition separating task inference from execution and derive PAC-Bayes bounds that distinguish finite-sample estimation error from irreducible structural limitations. Our first main result establishes an \emph{expressivity floor}: language acts as a capacity-limited communication channel, and whenever the informational complexity of a task family exceeds the capacity of that channel, distinct tasks become unavoidably indistinguishable to the Solver, inducing a strictly positive error floor that cannot be eliminated by additional data, optimisation, or model scaling alone. We then establish an \emph{objective-misalignment floor}: when alignment constraints restrict the admissible output set, the User-ideal distribution may lie outside the feasible class, inducing an irreducible distortion. Together, these results yield a formal negative conclusion: prompt-conditioned LLMs are not universal problem solvers through prompting alone, as there exist task families for which correct behaviour is provably unattainable even in the infinite-data regime. More broadly, our analysis shows the limits of prompt-based generalisation arise from information-constrained communication and alignment-constrained objectives. This suggests that interfaces beyond natural language, including multimodal observations and, external memory, may reduce the inherent LLM limitations by increasing the task-relevant information available to the System.
Large language models (LLMs) can solve complex multi-hop problems yet exhibit puzzling failures on simple two-hop queries: although a model may correctly store each individual hop, it often fails to combine them. To understand the internal mechanisms of this phenomenon, we train transformers from scratch in a controlled symbolic environment. Our experiments reveal a pattern in two-hop generalization: models generalize reliably when the second hop follows the training distribution, but always fail when it deviates. Through mechanistic analysis, we provide a complete explanation for these distinct generalization behaviors: in settings where models generalize successfully, performance is driven by the emergence of consistent intermediate representations for the same entities across contexts, whereas failures on settings where the second hop is out-of-distribution arise from a mismatch across layers: lower layers correctly construct these intermediate representations, but upper layers, while trained on corresponding atomic facts, primarily learn to map them to outputs rather than to reason over them. Driven by this insight, we propose a recurrent-style training strategy, which enables transformers to reuse their reasoning circuitry across input forms and substantially improves generalization on out-of-distribution two-hop queries.
Reasoning traces of large language models are widely read as containing "breakthrough" moments and early-legible fates. Both readings rest on measurements missing a counterfactual control at the level of the claim; we supply both controls. First, a restart-controlled truncation probe separates when a solution fits the continuation budget from when a prefix carries value that fresh computation cannot buy, comparing per-anchor continuation solve rates against from-scratch restart curves at matched total generated-token budget. Applied to 178 problem-model cells (89 MATH problems x two small open models, an outcome-blind but difficulty-targeted cohort), exactly 1 of 178 cells survives as prefix-limited; restart dose-response separates a compute-starved model from a capability-limited one; and wherever the matched budget lies inside the restart grid, continuing the model's own prefix beats restarting (9 of 9) -- predominantly compute compression rather than expanded reachability. Second, a pre-registered, difficulty-controlled test finds no detectable outcome information in early-window internal signals beyond a problem-difficulty baseline, and two generation-free analyses of public corpora show why this control is needed: a trace-blind difficulty proxy reaches AUROC 0.873 on 192K DeepSeek-R1 generations -- inside the published probe range -- and a closely matched reconstruction of the closest published early-window positive recovers a comparable pooled result (0.849) while within problem it is statistically indistinguishable from chance at all ten anchors (0.496 at t=4); a post-hoc within-targeted probe finds only a small average residual, concentrated in three low-failure problems. High pooled probe AUROCs cannot by themselves establish within-attempt information; a question-only baseline or within-problem evaluation is required.