AI-based Waste Mapping for Addressing Climate-Exacerbated Flood Risk

Managing municipal solid waste in rapidly urbanizing Sub-Saharan Africa remains challenging due to dispersed informal dumping and limited high-resolution datasets for spatial monitoring. We present an open-access deep learning model for automated detection of openly dumped dispersed solid waste via crowdsourced UAV imagery, trained and evaluated across 29 regions in 10 countries, encompassing diverse environmental contexts. A deep learning model trained on manually annotated image tiles achieved excellent performance in detecting openly dumped dispersed solid waste across all study regions. Predicted distributions reveal heterogeneous accumulation patterns, ranging from localized hotspots - often along waterways, where waste can exacerbate flood and public health risks - to more dispersed litter across urban areas. Waste accumulation is most strongly associated with population density and indicators of lack of local infrastructure access, whereas its relationship with broader measures of regional development is weaker, highlighting the importance of fine-scale data for understanding localized waste dynamics. By releasing the model, this study provides a ready-to-use tool for UAV imagery collected by municipalities and local mapping communities, enabling openly dumped dispersed solid waste monitoring without extensive technical expertise. This approach empowers local practitioners to convert UAV imagery into actionable insights, supporting targeted interventions and improved municipal solid waste management across Sub-Saharan Africa.

Urban flooding affects lives and infrastructure worldwide. Mapping inundation in complex urban environments from satellite imagery remains challenging due to limited spatial resolution, infrequent acquisitions, and cloud cover. We present Urban Flood Observations (UFO), a global, hand-labeled dataset of post-flood inundation in diverse urban settings. UFO comprises 215 image chips (1024 by 1024 pixels) from 14 flood events between 2017 and 2021, derived from 3 m PlanetScope imagery. Each chip is annotated with two classes: 'inundated' (all visible surface water, including floodwater and pre-existing water bodies (permanent or seasonal)) and 'non-inundated'. To demonstrate the dataset's utility, we trained a segmentation model using leave-one-event-out cross-validation, achieving a mean Intersection over Union (IoU) of 77.3. We also used UFO to evaluate two widely used surface water products, the Sentinel-1-based NASA IMPACT model and Google's 10 m Dynamic World water class, which yielded IoUs of 44.1 and 48.1, respectively. UFO is publicly available to support the development and validation of urban inundation mapping methods.

Accurate mapping of informal settlements remains a major challenge in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) cities because optical imagery often fails to distinguish Informal Settlements (defined here as LCZ 7) from spectrally similar formal Compact Low-Rise areas (LCZ 3). This study presents a context-aware, reproducible Optical-SAR framework that improves informal settlement delineation using Sentinel-2 spectral features and Sentinel-1 structural information within an adapted Local Climate Zone (LCZ) taxonomy. We implement a three-tier SAR integration strategy: calibrated backscatter, GLCM textures, and a physics-guided feature engineered to capture the high structural disorder and weak radar return characteristic of SSA informal settlements. Using reference data across Nairobi and Eldoret (Kenya), we evaluate performance via a stratified hold-out protocol and a season-aware ablation study. Results show that SAR textures provide the dominant performance gain for LCZ 7 detection. The Optical-SAR model achieves overall accuracy of 0.816 (dry) and 0.807 (wet), significantly outperforming the WUDAPT baseline (OA 0.704) and reducing the critical LCZ 3 - LCZ 7 confusion to 7%. Seasonal analysis indicates that while optical-only separability varies with phenology, SAR-derived textures stabilize informal settlement mapping across seasons. These findings demonstrate that the incorporation of SAR-derived features yields consistent improvements for urban morphology mapping in data-scarce environments across seasons and across the evaluated source cities, while cross-city transfer remains limited without local adaptation strategies.