Depression is one of the most prevalent and debilitating mental health conditions worldwide, frequently underdiagnosed and undertreated. The proliferation of social media platforms provides a rich source of naturalistic linguistic signals for the automated monitoring of psychological well-being. In this work, we propose a system based on Large Language Models (LLMs) for depression risk assessment in Reddit posts, through multi-label classification of eight depression-associated emotions and the computation of a weighted severity index. The method is evaluated in a zero-shot setting on the annotated DepressionEmo dataset (~6,000 posts) and applied in-the-wild to 469,692 comments collected from four subreddits over the period 2024-2025. Our best model, gemma3:27b, achieves micro-F1 = 0.75 and macro-F1 = 0.70, results competitive with purpose-built fine-tuned models (BART: micro-F1 = 0.80, macro-F1 = 0.76). The in-the-wild analysis reveals consistent and temporally stable risk profiles across communities, with marked differences between r/depression and r/anxiety. Our findings demonstrate the feasibility of a cost-effective, scalable approach for large-scale psychological monitoring.
Automatic Depression Detection (ADD) from clinical interviews is a pivotal task in computational mental health, yet it remains challenging due to two critical obstacles: 1) difficulty in modeling complex but sparsely distributed depression clues within lengthy, multi-topic clinical interviews, leading to superficial and unreliable reasoning; 2) scarcity of labeled data due to clinical privacy, together with high cost of training and fine-tuning, limiting the deployment of supervised ADD systems. To jointly address these challenges, we propose Dep-LLM, a training-free framework that mirrors the step-by-step reasoning of clinical psychiatrists and operates entirely on frozen off-the-shelf foundation LLMs. Dep-LLM comprises three stages. First, a Chain-of-Thought (CoT) Depression Multi-factor Analysis module structurally decomposes the long dialogue into five clinically aligned themes and produces evidence-grounded rationales, effectively handling long-context dependencies. Second, we introduce Confidence Analysis and Modulation module that quantifies the epistemic reliability from token-level entropy of each rationale and applies an intra-label and inter-theme modulation that amplifies trustworthy signals while suppressing uncertain ones without extra training. Third, a Collaborative Multi-factor Prediction module dynamically integrates multi-factor signals weighted by confidence into the final diagnosis. Extensive experiments on the DAIC-WOZ and E-DAIC datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and generalizability of Dep-LLM: it surpasses zero-shot baseline on nearly all 21 foundation LLMs across 9 metrics such as accuracy, macro F1 and weighted-average F1, and further outperforms state-of-the-art supervised domain-specific LLMs as well as the latest closed-source commercial LLMs, while requiring no extra training.
Depression is the leading cause of disability worldwide, and early detection of symptom change is essential for timely intervention. Validated instruments such as the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) support symptom monitoring at scale, but real-world completion rates are low, introducing response bias and systematic missingness. Passive approaches that infer severity from routinely generated data could close this gap. We address this by predicting PHQ-9 total scores directly from transcripts of conversations between users and an AI mental health application, requiring only conversation text and no additional clinical data. We fine-tune a Qwen3.5-27B backbone with a regression head, augment 3,111 ground-truth labels with pseudolabels generated by a reasoning model (Claude Opus) and iteratively trained intermediate models, for a combined dataset of 6,283 users. On a held-out test set of 842 users, our best model achieves MAE = 2.6, RMSE = 4.0, Pearson r = 0.80, and AUC = 0.91 at the PHQ-9 >= 10 clinical threshold. We also find AUC > 0.87 at every severity threshold from PHQ-9 >= 3 to PHQ-9 >= 24, demonstrating that the model captures depression severity across the full clinical spectrum. This work opens the door to passive, continuous symptom monitoring in AI mental health platforms, without requiring users to complete self-report measures.
Patients with depression present with diverse symptom profiles, yet clinical practice routinely reduces this variation to a single severity score. Large language models (LLMs) can potentially capture various symptoms and their severity from patient speech. However, how depressive symptoms are represented inside LLMs remains poorly understood, limiting clinical trust. To examine whether internal model activations match clinician judgment, we analyzed the residual stream of Gemma-3-27B-PT using mechanistic interpretability techniques. Recording activations across symptom descriptions drawn from validated clinical instruments, we found that symptom groups geometrically separated the most at layer 21 across multiple distance metrics. Using Semantic Projection, we then projected held-out naturalistic text onto Symptom Vectors constructed from these instruments. The resulting per-symptom coefficients preserved clinician-annotated rank ordering across mood, somatic, and suicidality axes. Furthermore, a single depression vector in Layer 21 separates held-out depressive from non-depressive text (AUC = 0.789), which can be used as an emotional valence gate that restricts symptom projection to depressive speech. These results reveal a decorrelated, clinician-aligned symptom signal readable directly from internal activations, offering a mechanistic foundation for interpretable depression-assessment tools.