Towards Adaptive Continual Model Merging via Manifold-Aware Expert Evolution

AI model hubs provide access to a rapidly growing collection of powerful pre-trained models, enabling off-the-shelf mixture-of-experts systems with different routing strategies. However, this rapid growth poses two fundamental challenges: scaling model selection across thousands of experts and continually updating routing mechanisms as new models and tasks are introduced. In this paper, we formalise this setting as Continual Model Routing (CMR) and propose CMRBench, a new large-scale benchmark simulating realistic hub expansion and including over 2,000 candidate models. Finally, we introduce CARvE, a contrastive embedding approach for efficient continual model routing via checkpoint-based anchoring and structured replay. Extensive empirical results and ablations show that CARvE significantly outperforms zero-shot retrieval, fine-tuning, and adapter-merging baselines in model, family, and domain-level accuracy.

Continual Model Merging (CMM) enables rapid customization of foundation models by sequentially incorporating task-adapted models without repeated retraining. However, existing merging rules usually update the deployed model through fixed algebraic or projection-based operations, providing limited control over how much previously accumulated knowledge should be retained relative to the incoming task model. This limitation leads to unstable retention and performance degradation in long task streams, and becomes more pronounced when tasks have heterogeneous utilities. We propose ODE-driven Merging (ODE-M), a controllable framework that formulates each continual merge as a trajectory in parameter space rather than a one-step endpoint update. Motivated by mode connectivity, ODE-M constructs a barrier-aware trajectory using a rectified time-dependent velocity field, where lightweight first-order feedback from a small calibration set suppresses loss-increasing motion while preserving progress toward the incoming model. The next merged model is then obtained by selecting an operating point along this trajectory through a utility-aware time schedule, providing an explicit mechanism for balancing retained historical knowledge and incoming task expertise. Extensive experiments on standard CMM benchmarks show that ODE-M consistently improves over strong continual merging baselines across CLIP ViT backbones, stream lengths, and heterogeneous task-utility settings.

Continual semantic segmentation requires models to adapt to new domains or modalities without sacrificing performance on previously learned tasks. Expert-based learning, in which task-specific modules specialize in different domains, has proven effective in mitigating forgetting. These methods include dynamic expansion, which suffers from scalability issues, or parameter isolation, which constrains the ability to learn new tasks. We introduce Mixture of Incremental LoRA Experts (MILE), a modular and parameter-efficient framework for continual segmentation across both domains and modalities. MILE leverages Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) to instantiate lightweight experts for each new task while keeping the pretrained base network frozen. Each expert is trained exclusively on its task data, thus avoids overwriting previously learned information. A prototype-guided gating mechanism dynamically selects the most appropriate expert at inference. MILE achieves the benefits of expert-based learning while overcoming its scalability limitations. It requires only a marginal parameter increase per task and tens of LoRA adapters are needed before matching the size of a single full model, making it highly efficient in both training and storage. Across domain- and modality-incremental benchmarks, MILE achieves strong performance while ensuring better stability, plasticity, and scalability.