Reward Models Are Secretly Value Functions: Temporally Coherent Reward Modeling

Recent advancements in reasoning language models have been driven by Reinforcement Learning (RL) fine-tuning. Most often, these rely on the Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) algorithm or modifications thereof to steer the models to produce Chain-of-Thought (CoT) traces. The final answer can only be verified, and the reward assigned, after the CoT trace is complete, making it a delayed reward problem. GRPO and its modifications correspond to Monte Carlo methods in standard RL, which are known to suffer from high variance. A possible solution to this problem is the redistribution of rewards through credit assignment, where segments of the CoT trace that are important for arriving at the desirable solution are emphasized by assigning a higher reward. While Monte Carlo sampling can be used to provide an unbiased estimate of intermediate state values, its computational overhead makes it unsuitable for train-time credit assignment in long contexts at high granularity. We introduce RREDCoT (Reward REDistribution for Chain of Thoughts), which utilizes the model itself to approximate the optimal reward redistribution without additional generation. We investigate the advantages of our method compared to MC sampling and several attribution methods. We further analyze several aspects relevant to the construction of the redistribution such as segmentation of CoT traces and state value estimation.

Every RLHF-trained language model is shaped by a reward model, yet the mechanistic interpretability toolkit -- logit lens, direct logit attribution, activation patching, sparse autoencoders -- was built for generative LLMs whose primitives all project onto a vocabulary unembedding. Reward models replace that with a scalar regression head, breaking each tool. We present reward-lens, an open-source library that ports this toolkit to reward models, organised around one observation: the reward head's weight vector $w_r$ is the natural axis for every interpretability question. The library provides a Reward Lens, component attribution, three-mode activation patching, a reward-hacking probe suite, TopK SAE feature attribution, cross-model comparison, and five theory-grounded extensions (distortion index, divergence-aware patching, misalignment cascade detection, reward-term conflict analysis, concept-vector analysis). A ten-method adapter protocol covers Llama, Mistral, Gemma-2, and ArmoRM multi-objective heads, with a generic adapter for any HuggingFace sequence classification model. We validate on two production reward models across ~695 RewardBench pairs. The central empirical finding is negative: linear attribution does not predict causal patching effects (mean Spearman $ρ= -0.256$ on Skywork, $-0.027$ on ArmoRM). The framework treats this disagreement as a property to expose, not a bug -- motivating a design that keeps observational and causal views first-class and directly comparable.

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) aligns large language models by training reward models on preference data and optimizing policies to maximize predicted rewards. However, this pipeline faces two fundamental challenges: (1) reward models cannot signal when their predictions are unreliable, since they usually act as deterministic point estimators; and (2) modern group-based policy optimization can amplify unreliable reward signals, as exemplified by GRPO's uniform treatment of rewards during advantage computation. As policies explore increasingly diverse responses, these two limitations create a critical vulnerability: unreliable reward estimates may be granted disproportionate influence, triggering severe reward hacking. We propose Uncertainty-Aware Reward Modeling (UARM), which equips reward models with calibrated uncertainty via quantile-based conformal prediction and reweights GRPO advantages through heteroscedastic variance decomposition. Experiments across HelpSteer, UltraFeedback, and PKU-SafeRLHF demonstrate that UARM significantly improves reward model calibration, reduces reward hacking, and enhances downstream alignment quality compared to standard GRPO and uncertainty-agnostic baselines.