MetaErr: Towards Predicting Error Patterns in Deep Neural Networks

Learning with noisy labels in multimedia classification often combines external annotations and model predictions into a single reliability weight, even though the two sources can fail for different reasons. We instead estimate disentangled reliabilities: bilevel meta-learning produces two batch-normalized scalars per sample, alpha for the given label and beta for the pseudo-label, without constraining them to sum to one. Holistic Reliability Propagation (HRP) then routes them to different objectives, using reliability-aware Mixup with global gating on the input branch and beta-gated pseudo-label positives on the contrastive branch. On synthetic and real-world benchmarks, HRP improves average accuracy over strong baselines and remains competitive at the highest noise rates.

Large hyperparameter sweeps for deep neural networks spend substantial compute on configurations that are effectively doomed from the first few epochs. We study whether a single training run's own early telemetry - per-epoch loss, training accuracy, gradient signal-to-noise ratio, weight-norm growth, and an activation-saturation snapshot - together with its sampled hyperparameters, can predict that run's eventual outcome without reference to other runs. We evaluate three prediction tasks: final test accuracy, relative performance within a domain, and training-dynamics failure, including numerical divergence. Across 23,788 training runs spanning six architecture/dataset combinations, gradient-boosted trees using only the first five epochs of telemetry achieve R^2 = 0.92-0.99 for final-accuracy regression and ROC-AUC = 0.983-0.998 for relative classification on a permanently held-out set of hyperparameter configurations. Useful prediction is already available after a single epoch. A paired ablation shows that gradient- and weight-level telemetry provides a statistically consistent improvement over loss and accuracy curves alone, although the practical gain varies by domain. Transfer is strong between similar architectures, while cross-dataset transfer is limited mainly by differences in accuracy scale rather than loss of the underlying relationship. These results suggest that early-training telemetry can provide a practical decision-support signal for compute allocation while motivating human oversight for any automated intervention.

Existing methods for testing deep neural networks (DNNs) primarily prioritize test inputs likely to reveal model faults under a fixed labeling budget. In practice, choosing that budget is difficult: too little testing misses failures, while too much incurs unnecessary labeling costs. This work studies the stopping problem in DNN testing. We formulate testing as a cost--benefit decision process in which labeling an input incurs cost $c$ and discovering a fault yields value $v$. Based on this formulation, we introduce \textit{AdaStop}, a framework that estimates the marginal fault discovery rate during testing and stops labeling when the estimated rate falls below the threshold $τ= c/v$. Experiments across multiple datasets, architectures, and selection strategies show that $65$--$84\%$ of faults can be discovered using only $9$--$31\%$ of the labeling budget.