Context as Prior: Bayesian-Inspired Intent Inference for Non-Speaking Agents with a Household Cat Testbed
Authors: Wenqian Zhang, Zehao Wang
Organizations: University of California, Riverside, Riverside, CA
Abstract
Many agents in real-world environments cannot reliably communicate their goals through language, including household pets, pre-verbal infants, and other non-speaking embodied agents. In such settings, intent must be inferred from incomplete behavioral observations in context-rich environments. This creates a core ambiguity: observable behavior is often noisy or underspecified, while context provides strong prior information but can also induce brittle shortcut predictions if used naively. We present CatSignal, a Bayesian-inspired probabilistic framework for multimodal intent inference that models spatial context as a prior-like constraint and behavioral observations as evidence. Rather than treating context as an ordinary input feature, our method uses a context-gated Product-of-Experts formulation to compute posterior-like intent distributions from context, pose dynamics, and acoustic cues. We instantiate this formulation in a household cat setting as a focused proof-of-concept for intent inference in non-speaking agents. Under Leave-One-Video-Out evaluation on a multimodal domestic cat dataset, the proposed prior-guided fusion achieves the best overall accuracy of 77.72%, outperforming feature concatenation (71.83%) and stronger late-fusion baselines. More importantly, it substantially reduces context-driven shortcut failures in ambiguous cases. While simpler fusion strategies remain competitive in Macro-F1 and selective prediction, the proposed model provides the strongest overall accuracy and the best suppression of context-based shortcut collapse.
Deciphering animal intent is a fundamental challenge in computational ethology, largely because of semantic aliasing, the phenomenon where identical external signals (e.g., a cat's purr) correspond to radically different internal states depending on physiological context. Existing Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are blind to high-frequency biological time-series data, restricting them to superficial behavioural pattern matching rather than genuine latent-state reasoning. To bridge this gap, we introduce Meow-Omni 1, the first open-source, quad-modal MLLM purpose-built for computational ethology. It natively fuses video, audio, and physiological time-series streams with textual reasoning. Through targeted architectural adaptation, we integrate specialized scientific encoders into a unified backbone and formalize intent inference via physiologically grounded cross-modal alignment. Evaluated on MeowBench, a novel, expert-verified quad-modal benchmark, Meow-Omni 1 achieves state-of-the-art intent-recognition accuracy (71.16%), substantially outperforming leading vision-language and omni-modal baselines. We release the complete open-source pipeline including model weights, training framework, and the Meow-10K dataset, to establish a scalable paradigm for inter-species intent understanding and to advance foundation models toward real-world veterinary diagnostics and wildlife conservation.
Reliable proactive agents must choose an action and judge whether current evidence is sufficient to act. We study retail service from sparse third-person video: before an explicit customer request, an agent must use limited human-object interaction evidence to intervene or remain silent. Physical grounding here means converting observations into task-relevant retail state, not modeling low-level dynamics. We introduce the Proactive Intent World Model (PIWM): See constructs the perceptual basis, Foresee models counterfactual consequences, and Act selects an action. Performance is poor when the agent must extract information from raw video and decide directly, but improves substantially with structured inputs extracted and annotated from a professional retail perspective. AIDA-stage constraints and BDI-state ablations further support role- and goal-directed selection and organization of decision-relevant cues. Counterfactual prediction performs well in standalone evaluation, yet planning methods that query these forecasts at inference time degrade sharply: locally useful consequence prediction does not reliably improve action selection. This gap may reflect incomplete process understanding, uncertainty in fine-grained single-step outcomes, and insufficient joint modeling of scenes and temporal evolution. Hold remains the hardest action in structured-state evaluation, exposing a related challenge in temporal awareness. PIWM advances static intent recognition toward intent world modeling by organizing observations under task knowledge, anticipating candidate interventions, and treating intervention and non-intervention jointly. Future work will introduce long-horizon interaction trajectories and temporal consequence supervision to improve sustained reasoning and intervention timing.
Current AI interaction models treat the prompt as the primary object of exchange, omitting a critical layer: the user's latent source intent, the goal state preceding and motivating the prompt. Here we introduce Intent Signal Theory (IST), a computational framework that formalises this missing intent layer. IST distinguishes four objects routinely conflated: latent source intent (I*), observable intent proxy (I-hat), encoded carrier (P), and model output (O). It formalises dimensional weights, encoding masks, structural and fidelity recovery scores, and public-private intent decomposition. The Theorem of Irreversible Intent Loss establishes that private intent absent from the carrier cannot be recovered beyond generic substitution. Evidence from four companion studies spanning six LLMs, three languages and three task domains shows structural-fidelity splits, human-validated metric dissociation, and weight-tolerance plateaus consistent with IST's predictions. IST reframes prompt engineering as intent-protocol design and identifies a computational layer that current AI systems lack.