From Flat Facts to Sharp Hallucinations: Detecting Stubborn Errors via Gradient Sensitivity

Hallucinations in large language models (LLMs) arise from heterogeneous failure mechanisms, making reliable detection difficult for any single global uncertainty score. In this work, we formulate hallucination detection as a mechanism-aware evidence aggregation problem, where diverse representation- and token-level signals must be interpreted under multiple latent explanations. We propose FLaG, a lightweight hallucination detection framework that models correctness through a set of latent evidence groups. Each instance is softly associated with multiple groups via an energy-based routing mechanism, and group-conditional reliability signals are combined through a principled log-marginal aggregation. This design enables FLaG to capture heterogeneous hallucination patterns while remaining invariant to decision thresholds and evaluation metrics. The framework operates as a frozen-model head, requires no modification to the underlying language model, and incurs minimal computational overhead. We further provide a theoretical perspective that connects FLaG to optimal evidence aggregation under heterogeneous error mechanisms, showing that the Bayes-optimal test statistic necessarily admits a log-marginal form and that FLaG constitutes a tractable approximation with a controllable error bound. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks and LLM backbones demonstrate that FLaG consistently achieves SOTA performance, while exhibiting robust transfer across datasets and models, and remaining effective under limited supervision.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, yet they remain prone to generating hallucinations. Detecting these hallucinations is critical for deploying LLMs reliably in high-stakes applications. We present Grad Detect, a gradient-based approach for predicting hallucinations by analyzing layer-wise gradient patterns from a single forward-backward pass during inference. Our method shows that the internal gradient structure of a model carries rich information about the correctness of its output. This information is not accessible through output-level signals alone. We evaluate Grad Detect on several Q&A benchmarks across both hallucination detection and model abstention prediction, where it consistently outperforms confidence-based and sampling-based baselines. Through comprehensive layer ablation studies across all eleven models from four architectural families, we find that the final five layers concentrate over 97% of the discriminative gradient signal, enabling efficient deployment with minimal performance loss. Grad Detect provides a unified framework for predicting multiple dimensions of LLM reliability, offering strong predictive performance alongside interpretable insights into where and how model failures originate.

Large language models (LLMs) hallucinate with confidence: their outputs can be fluent, authoritative, and simply wrong. In medical, legal, and scientific applications this failure causes direct harm, and detecting it from internal model states offers a path to safer deployment. A growing body of work reports that this problem is increasingly tractable, with recent methods achieving high detection performance on widely used benchmarks. We show, however, that much of this apparent progress does not survive scrutiny. Four of the six corpora embed the ground-truth answer directly in the input prompt. A naïve text-similarity baseline we call \textsc{TxTemb} exploits this to achieve near-perfect detection scores without any access to model internals. To measure what genuine detection capability remains once these artifacts are controlled, we conduct a large-scale evaluation spanning twenty-two detection methods, twelve open-source models spanning six architectural families, and six corpora. We further introduce \textbf{DRIFT}, a supervised probe over inter-layer hidden-state transitions, as a point of comparison for live-generation detection. Our findings suggest that the field's reported progress on hallucination detection is substantially explained by benchmark construction artifacts in widely used corpora, and that the majority of established baselines perform near chance under controlled conditions; the consistent exceptions are SAPLMA and DRIFT, both supervised probes on upper-layer hidden states.