Exact and Approximate Algorithms for Polytree Learning

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional Bayesian networks is difficult because exact manipulation of the joint distribution scales exponentially with network size. We propose a decomposition framework based on directed convex subgraphs and introduce a minimal d-decomposition tree. Together, they provide a principled alternative to classical junction-tree constructions. The proposed framework represents the joint distribution by lower-dimensional sub-models that can be learned and stored separately. This decomposition reduces computational cost and naturally enables parallel computation. Based on a minimal d-decomposition tree, we further develop two parallel algorithms for parameter estimation and probabilistic inference. Experiments show that the proposed method substantially improves computational efficiency over junction-tree methods while maintaining inference accuracy, especially for low-dimensional queries.

This work considers a number of optimization problems and reductive relations between them. The two main problems we are interested in are the Optimal Decision Tree and Set Cover. We study these two fundamental tasks under precedence constraints, that is, if a test (or set) $X$ is a predecessor of $Y$, then in any feasible decision tree $X$ needs to be an ancestor of $Y$ (or respectively, if $Y$ is added to set cover, then so must be $X$). For the Optimal Decision Tree we consider two optimization criteria: worst case identification time (height of the tree) or the average identification time. Similarly, for the Set Cover we study two cost measures: the size of the cover or the average cover time. Our approach is to develop a number of algorithmic reductions, where an approximation algorithm for one problem provides an approximation for another via a black-box usage of a procedure for the former. En route we introduce other optimization problems either to complete the `reduction landscape' or because they hold the essence of combinatorial structure of our problems. The latter is brought by a problem of finding a Maximum Density Precedence-Closed Subfamily, where the density is defined as the ratio of the number of items the family covers to its size. We provide $\mathcal{O}^*(\sqrt{m})$-approximation polynomial-time algorithms for all aforementioned problems. The picture is complemented by a number of hardness reductions that provide $\mathcal{O}(m^{1/12-ε})$-inapproximability results for the decision tree and covering problems. Besides giving a complete set of results for general precedence constraints, we also provide polylogarithmic approximation guarantees for two most typically studied and applicable graph types, outforests and inforests. By providing corresponding hardness results, we show most of these results to be tight.

The field of learning-augmented algorithms has demonstrated that machine-learned predictions can bypass worst-case lower bounds across a wide range of problems. So far, however, the focus has been almost exclusively on polynomial-time algorithms, where predictions improve competitive ratios, approximation guarantees, or running times. In this paper, we raise the question of whether predictions can push the frontier of exact exponential-time algorithms for NP-hard problems. We answer this question affirmatively by proposing a general approach that augments an entire family of state-of-the-art exact algorithms for a variety of subset selection problems. We show that a noisy predictor that is only marginally better than random guessing suffices to provably reduce the search space, and that the resulting runtime speedup scales smoothly with the prediction quality. Importantly, our algorithms require only pairwise independence of predictions or, alternatively, do not require the knowledge of the predictor's accuracy - both strictly weaker and more realistic settings than typically assumed.