We present a deployed system for on-orbit wildfire detection aboard a nine-satellite commercial thermal infrared constellation, operating under demanding joint constraints: sub-megabyte model footprint, sub-150 ms per-batch TensorRT FP16 inference on an NVIDIA Jetson Xavier NX, and an end-to-end alert pipeline targeting under 10 minutes from satellite overpass to fire event communication. The system operates on uncalibrated mid-wave infrared (MWIR) single-band imagery at 200 m ground sampling distance, where fires frequently appear as sub-pixel or single-pixel thermal anomalies under extreme class imbalance -- challenges not addressed by the contextual thermal-thresholding pipelines (MODIS, VIIRS) that currently dominate operational fire monitoring. We present an empirical study of lightweight dense representation learning for this regime using a proprietary nine-satellite MWIR dataset. We compare dense masked autoencoding (DenseMAE) and a hybrid DenseMAE+EMA (exponential moving average) distillation variant, and evaluate representations via linear probing and full-distribution pixel-level average precision (AP) under extreme class imbalance. DenseMAE pretraining enables compact downstream models on the latency-accuracy Pareto frontier: our fastest SSL-pretrained model achieves 0.640 test AP and 0.69 event-level Fire-F1 with 65.34 ms latency per batch and a 0.52 MB engine, without pruning or compression. The best configuration reaches 0.699 AP and 0.744 Fire-F1 below 1 MB, outperforming a supervised baseline (0.650 AP) under comparable constraints.
The development of vision-based wildfire detection systems for unmanned aerial vehicles is constrained by the limited availability of diverse real-world training images. This paper investigates the impact of dataset composition on embedded real-time UAV wildfire detection using compact YOLO models as a controlled validation family. Four training configurations were evaluated: real non-augmented, real augmented, hybrid non-augmented, and hybrid augmented, where the hybrid sets combine real wildfire images with AI-generated samples. The objective is to determine whether synthetic data mixing and image augmentation improve practical detection performance under resource-constrained deployment conditions. Experimental results show that the best overall operating point was obtained with the real non-augmented dataset, which achieved the strongest balance between recall and mean average precision for UAV-based wildfire detection. The results also show that neither hybridization with synthetic data nor augmentation produced a better final deployment choice. These findings suggest that, for embedded UAV wildfire detection, dataset realism and domain alignment are more valuable than increasing training set size through synthetic expansion.
Eduardo de los Santos, Andre S. Kelbouscas, Ricardo B. Grando +1
This article describes an open image dataset for developing and evaluating active-fire segmentation methods in satellite imagery. The dataset contains 2,148 image-mask pairs from 25 California wildfires, with acquisitions spanning July 2020 to August 2026. Each image is a 512x512-pixel, three-channel composite derived from Sentinel-2 Level-2A bands B12, B11 and B8A at 20 m spatial sampling. A fixed linear rendering is applied throughout the dataset. Corresponding masks distinguish background, SWIR-rule active fire and invalid observations. The masks were generated from shortwave-infrared brightness and near-infrared contrast, followed by constrained neighborhood growth. The release includes chip-level metadata and an incident-disjoint partition containing 18 training, three validation and four test fires. Among the image pairs, 841 contain active-fire labels; these labels occupy 0.0766% of all grid cells. A mask-blind analyst review covers 233 test chips and provides a separate assessment of the rule-generated labels at chip and connected-component levels. Reference training and evaluation code accompanies the data, including a ResNet-34 U-Net implementation with validation-based checkpoint and threshold selection. The archived images, masks, metadata and review annotations support research on rare-class segmentation, learning from algorithmic labels and transfer across fire incidents. The versioned dataset is deposited on Zenodo, with preparation and reuse software maintained in a public GitHub repository.
Rapid and accurate wildfire smoke severity assessment from satellite images is essential for emergency response, air quality modeling, and human health risk management. Existing deep learning approaches treat smoke detection as a binary task, producing point estimates without any measure of prediction confidence. We propose a probabilistic framework to categorize a satellite patch into Light, Moderate, and Heavy severity classes and to provide decomposed epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty in a single forward pass. Our architecture uses the backbone of a pre-trained EfficientNet-B3 and a CBAM module with an evidential deep learning head that predicts Dirichlet concentration parameters, directly estimating vacuity (epistemic) and dissonance (aleatoric) without Monte Carlo sampling. Evaluated on 16,298 real satellite patches derived from the Wildfire Detection dataset, our model achieves 93.8% weighted test accuracy (91.1% unweighted) with ECE=0.0274. Selective prediction retaining the most certain 50% of patches achieves 96.7% accuracy. As image quality degrades, uncertainty increases monotonically, and vacuity is a practical scan quality measure. The Moderate class represents transitional smoke conditions that exhibit the highest epistemic uncertainty (mean vacuity = 0.187), confirming the model correctly identifies ambiguous smoke boundary regions. CBAM spatial attention maps localize to structurally distinctive scene regions, and t-SNE demonstrates the clear cluster separation of Light and Heavy smoke.