E = T*H/(O+B): A Dimensionless Control Parameter for Mixture-of-Experts Ecology

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures have become standard in large language models, yet many of their core design choices - expert count, granularity, shared experts, load balancing, token dropping - have only been studied one or two at a time over narrow configuration ranges. It remains an open question whether these choices can be optimized independently, without considering interactions. We present the first systematic study of over 2,000 pretraining runs spanning models up to 6.6B total parameters, in which we exhaustively vary total experts, expert dimension, heterogeneous expert sizing within a single layer, shared expert size and load-balancing mechanisms. We find that at every active-parameter scale that we study, performance consistently improves with total MoE parameters even at extreme active expert parameter ratios like 128.Further, the optimal expert size is nearly invariant to total parameter count and depends only on active parameter count. Third, we see that other choices like shared experts, heterogeneous experts and load-balancing settings have small effects relative to expert count and granularity, although dropless routing yields a consistent gain. Overall, our results suggest a simpler recipe: focus on expert count and granularity, other choices have minimal effect on final quality.

Expert specialization is fundamental to Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) model success, yet existing metrics (cosine similarity, routing entropy) lack theoretical grounding and yield inconsistent conclusions under reparameterization. We present an information-geometric framework providing the first rigorous characterization of MoE specialization dynamics. Our key insight is that expert routing distributions evolve on the probability simplex equipped with the Fisher information metric, enabling formal analysis via Riemannian geometry. We prove that standard heuristic metrics violate parameterization invariance (Theorem 1), establish that specialization corresponds to geodesic flow with quantified approximation bounds (Theorem 2), and derive a failure predictor with theoretical threshold justification (Theorem 3). The framework introduces two principled metrics: Fisher Specialization Index (FSI) achieving r=0.91+/-0.02 correlation with downstream performance, and Fisher Heterogeneity Score (FHS) predicting training failure at 10% completion with AUC=0.89+/-0.03 -- outperforming validation-loss-based early stopping by 23% while requiring 40x fewer compute cycles. We validate intervention protocols achieving 87% recovery rate when FHS>1 is detected. Comprehensive experiments across language modeling (WikiText-103, C4), vision MoE (ImageNet), and scaling studies (8-64 experts, 125M-2.7B parameters) validate our theoretical predictions.

Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models scale capacity by routing each token to a small subset of experts. However, their routers exhibit a fundamental trade-off: strong load balancing can suppress expert specialization, while aggressive diversity often causes routing collapse. We propose Hi-MoE, a grouped MoE framework that decomposes routing control into two coupled levels: (i) inter-group balancing that enforces fair traffic across expert groups, and (ii) intra-group specialization that promotes complementary expert behaviors while preventing within-group collapse. Our analysis provides a principled explanation of how our hierarchical objectives reshape the router, thereby promoting stable specialization and mitigating collapse. We observe consistent improvements over recent sparse-routing and grouped-MoE baselines across NLP and vision benchmarks, and confirm robustness via scaling studies (model size, expert count) and targeted ablations. In large-scale pre-training on 58B tokens, Hi-MoE-7B achieves a 5.6% perplexity reduction and a 40% improvement in expert balance over OLMoE-7B across diverse evaluation domains.