PromptDx: Differentiable Prompt Tuning for Multimodal In-Context Alzheimer's Diagnosis

While multimodal data integrating diverse imaging and clinical tabular records is crucial for accurate medical diagnosis, the arbitrary absence of specific modalities is prevalent in clinical practice, severely degrading the performance of multimodal models. Existing methods either discard missing modalities, leading to information loss, or struggle to synthesize them without capturing complex inter-modal dependencies. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Context-driven Missing-Modality Learning (CMML) framework, which sequentially performs modality synthesis and semantic alignment to achieve robust diagnosis under arbitrary missing conditions. Specifically, we design a Cascade Residual Transformer-based Autoencoder (CRTA) that leverages learnable context tokens acting as dataset-level semantic prior to capture inter-modal dependencies and synthesize key missing representations. These representations are further enriched by modality-specific memory banks. To resolve the discrepancy between original available and synthesized representations, we transform the learned context tokens into instance-adaptive semantic references by infusing multimodal representations from the CRTA's outputs. This reference guides the alignment of heterogeneous modality representations into a unified space, where class-aware contrastive refinement is finally applied to explore discriminative diagnostic cues. Extensive evaluations on skin lesion (Derm7pt), ocular disease (ODIR), and meningioma (MEN) datasets demonstrate that CMML significantly outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, yielding AVG AUC improvements of 1.26%, 0.97%, and 1.32%, respectively.

Missing modalities are prevalent in real-world Alzheimer's disease (AD) assessment and pose a significant challenge to multimodal learning, particularly when the distribution of observed modality subsets differs between training and deployment. Such missingness pattern mismatch induces a conditional representation shift across modality subsets. Existing approaches that rely on implicit imputation or modality synthesis often fail to explicitly model modality availability and uncertainty, leading to overconfident dependence on synthesized features, reduced robustness, and miscalibrated uncertainty estimates. To address these limitations, we propose PRA-PoE, an incomplete multimodal learning framework that is equipped with Prototype-anchored Representation Alignment (PRA) and an Uncertainty-aware Product of Experts (UA-PoE) fusion mechanism. First, PRA uses learnable global prototypes and availability-conditioned tokens to encode modality availability, distinguish observed from missing modalities, re-synthesize features for missing modalities, and adaptively refine observed representations to align latent spaces across modality subsets, with the goal of reducing representation shift under varying missingness patterns. Second, UA-PoE models each modality as a Gaussian expert and performs closed-form Product of Experts fusion, where experts with higher uncertainty are automatically down-weighted via lower precision, improving uncertainty reliability. We evaluate PRA-PoE under a clinically realistic protocol by training with naturally missing data and testing on all non-empty modality combinations. PRA-PoE consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art across datasets, achieving a 5.4% relative improvement in average accuracy on ADNI and a 10.9% relative gain in average F1 on OASIS-3 over the strongest baseline across all non-empty modality subsets.

Dementia is a major and growing global health burden, with Alzheimer's disease (AD) accounting for most cases. Timely and accurate diagnosis is central to managing this burden and increasingly depends on integrating complementary clinical and imaging information. Multimodal deep learning can combine these modalities for AD diagnosis, but how its explanations behave across modalities, fusion strategies, and cohorts remains unclear. We developed an explainable multimodal framework pairing a 3D CNN encoder for T1-weighted MRI with a feedforward network for harmonized clinical and demographic data, comparing varied model setups on three-way and pairwise diagnostic tasks using 6,479 internal records from the ADNI and 1,703 independent records from the OASIS-3. On ADNI, the tabular-only model achieved the highest three-class AUC-ROC of 0.879 and best discriminated cognitively normal (CN) versus mild cognitive impairment (MCI; 0.903), while cross-attention performed best for MCI versus AD (0.861); CN versus AD was highly discriminative overall. On OASIS-3, the vision-only model performed best (three-class AUC-ROC 0.910); CN versus MCI remained difficult, and no fusion strategy consistently outperformed single modalities across tasks and cohorts. SHAP and Integrated Gradients identified the MMSE as the dominant tabular feature in both cohorts, with global feature rankings agreeing strongly in ADNI ($\rho=0.94$) and OASIS-3 ($\rho=0.96$); CAM-based explanations, however, changed with model configuration and cohort. These findings show that multimodal performance and explanations are task, modality, fusion, and cohort-dependent: a dominant cognitive signal persisted across cohorts, but feature contributions and CAM explanations did not, underscoring the need to evaluate explainability under cohort shift rather than as a stable, intrinsic property.