Functional Graphs for Predicting and Explaining Goal Failure in Sparse Goal-Conditioned RL

Offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) is typically benchmarked by the best tuned success rate of each method. This score measures attainable performance, but it does not reveal how reliably a learned goal-conditioned signal can be extracted into a policy: a method could succeed across many value-learning and extraction settings, or only at a narrow, hard-to-find configuration. We study this gap across four methods, GCIQL, GCIVL, QRL, and CRL, under a shared advantage-weighted regression (AWR) extractor. For each method, we construct trainability landscapes over the optimizer learning rate, which affects value learning and actor optimization, and AWR temperature, which controls how selectively the actor imitates high-advantage transitions. Across AntMaze, Cube, and Scene, we observe distinct regimes: high-scoring methods may be broadly accessible or brittle, while broad relative basins may still sit below low absolute ceilings. To interpret these differences, we pair landscapes with post-hoc diagnostics of future-vs-random goal discrimination and AWR weight concentration. Their relationship to downstream success is task-dependent. On AntMaze, where future goals align with path-like progress, these diagnostics explain landscape regimes. On Cube and Scene, goal ranking and manipulation control decouple: methods can rank goals well while failing downstream, or succeed through action-conditioned advantages despite weak future-vs-random separation. These results show that peak tuned success alone does not establish broadly extractable goal-conditioned behavior. Trainability landscapes expose this gap, while extraction diagnostics offer a lower-cost lens on how learned signals become policies.

This paper investigates robust representation learning in offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL). Particularly in sparse reward scenarios, learning representations that align state and goal latents is a challenge that frequently culminates in representation divergence where the encoder drifts toward a low-dimensional, goal-agnostic subspace that destabilizes policy learning. We address this issue by showing that an agent must acquire a fundamental understanding of its environment across multiple scales, from local physical dynamics to long-horizon goal-directed structure. Building on this insight, we propose Ms.PR, a framework that leverages multi-scale predictive supervision to enforce goal-directed alignment within the latent space. We demonstrate that Ms.PR leads to improved representation quality and strong performance on both vision and state-based tasks. Furthermore, we show that our approach is exceptionally resilient under realistic, challenging data regimes, maintaining state-of-the-art performance across a wide variety of tasks, trajectory stitching scenarios, and extreme noise conditions.

Offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) is challenging in long-horizon tasks, where distant state--goal pairs provide weak supervision and value estimates become vulnerable to accumulated bootstrapping errors. Hierarchical methods mitigate this difficulty by introducing intermediate subgoals, but fixed temporal abstractions or fixed hierarchy depths can be mismatched to state--goal pairs with different reachability horizons. We propose Coarse-to-Fine Hierarchical Goal Reinforcement Learning (CFHRL), a fully offline GCRL framework that adaptively refines distant goals before execution. Starting from the final goal, CFHRL recursively proposes intermediate targets, trained from replay-supported candidates, and stops refinement once the current target is estimated to be locally executable by a learned reachability cost. The key idea is that a subgoal need not be an exact midpoint or globally optimal waypoint; it only needs to provide reliable progress and reduce the remaining reaching difficulty, enabling subsequent refinement over shorter horizons. A stylized analysis further supports the robustness of approximate recursive contraction. Experiments on OGBench show substantial gains on several long-horizon tasks, with ablations validating the proposed refinement and stopping mechanisms