OUIDecay: Adaptive Layer-wise Weight Decay for CNNs Using Online Activation Patterns

Activation functions are what make deep networks expressive: without them, the model collapses to a linear map. Yet we still evaluate training mostly from the outside, through loss, accuracy, return, or final calibration, while the internal structural evolution of the network remains largely unobserved. In this paper, we argue that the Overfitting--Underfitting Indicator (OUI) should be understood as a first practical observable of that internal structure. Across our recent results, OUI consistently appears as an early, label-free, activation-based signal that reveals whether a network is entering a poor or promising training regime before convergence. In supervised learning, it anticipates weight decay regimes; in reinforcement learning, it discriminates learning-rate regimes early in PPO actor--critic; and in online control, it can drive layer-wise weight decay adaptation. Read together with recent evidence that activation patterns tend to stabilize earlier than parameters, these results suggest a broader research direction: an activation-centric theory of training dynamics. OUI is becoming an empirical foothold toward this theory.

Continual learning agents with finite capacity must balance acquiring new knowledge with retaining the old. This requires controlled forgetting of knowledge that is no longer needed, freeing up capacity to learn. Weight decay, viewed as a mechanism for forgetting, can serve this role by gradually discarding information stored in the weights. However, a fixed scalar weight decay drives this forgetting uniformly over time and uniformly across all parameters, even when some encode stable knowledge while others track rapidly changing targets. We introduce Forgetting through Adaptive Decay (FADE), which adapts per-parameter weight decay rates online via approximate meta-gradient descent. We derive FADE for the online linear setting and apply it to the final layer of neural networks. Our empirical analysis shows that FADE automatically discovers distinct decay rates for different parameters, complements step-size adaptation, and consistently improves over fixed weight decay across online tracking and streaming classification problems.

The discovery of scaling laws has motivated training neural networks on ever increasing quantities of data. This is typically done with a constant decoupled weight decay which causes the network weights to shrink steadily over the course of training. Taking inspiration from the Robbins--Monro conditions, we propose to scale weight decay by the fraction of the peak learning rate $η/η_{\max}$. We prove that this scaled weight decay preserves the asymptotic stationarity guarantees of the corresponding unregularized methods for both stochastic gradient descent and the non-Euclidean spectral optimizer Muon, thereby avoiding the additional asymptotic bias introduced by constant decoupled weight decay. This retains the stability benefits of weight decay without changing the asymptotic optimization target. Using a steady-state analysis, we explain why under standard weight decay the weight norm shrinks steadily as training proceeds, whereas under scaled weight decay it settles to a roughly constant value. When applied to the training of mixture-of-experts models, Muon with scaled weight decay (Muon-SW) consistently outpaces Muon with identical hyperparameters, reaching the same validation loss $\mathbf{30\%}$ faster at our largest scale across models from $72 - 930$ million parameters trained at $\sim 600$ tokens per active parameter. If this trend continues to hold, the method promises to substantially accelerate the pre-training of frontier models while requiring only a few lines of code to implement.