Policy Gradient Methods for Non-Markovian Reinforcement Learning

The framework of robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs) allows the design of reinforcement learning agents that satisfy performance guarantees under worst-case transition dynamics. Traditional RMDPs consider discrete-time dynamics and recently, sample-efficient policy gradient algorithms have been considered in this context. This paper investigates policy gradient algorithms within a continuous-time RMDP framework. Policy gradients and adversarial gradients are derived using pathwise and adjoint-based formulas for stochastic and ordinary differential equations. We propose double-loop optimisers to obtain linear convergence in the oracle-based setting and an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{1}{ε^2})$ sample complexity in the sample-based setting in an analysis which also derives novel tools for the framework of undiscounted total cost MDPs. Additionally, we propose mean-field optimisers as distributional optimisers with an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{1}{K})$ oracle-based convergence rate and an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{N^2}ε)$ sample complexity under $N$-particle approximation. The effectiveness of continuous-time policy gradient algorithms is confirmed for both optimisers on continuous-time RMDPs with neural ordinary differential equation dynamics.

Policy gradient methods are reinforcement learning algorithms that adapt a parameterized policy by following a performance gradient estimate. Conventional policy gradient methods use Monte-Carlo techniques to estimate the gradient, which tend to have high variance, requiring many samples and resulting in slow convergence. We first propose a Bayesian framework for policy gradient, based on modeling the policy gradient as a Gaussian process. This reduces the number of samples needed to obtain accurate gradient estimates. Moreover, estimates of the natural gradient and a measure of the uncertainty in the gradient estimates, namely, the gradient covariance, are provided at little extra cost. Since the proposed framework considers system trajectories as its basic observable unit, it does not require the dynamics within trajectories to be of any particular form, and can be extended to partially observable problems. On the downside, it cannot exploit the Markov property when the system is Markovian. To address this, we supplement our Bayesian policy gradient framework with a new actor-critic learning model in which a Bayesian class of non-parametric critics, based on Gaussian process temporal difference learning, is used. Such critics model the action-value function as a Gaussian process, allowing Bayes rule to be used to compute the posterior distribution over action-value functions, conditioned on the observed data. Appropriate choices of the policy parameterization and of the prior covariance (kernel) between action-values yield closed-form expressions for the posterior of the gradient of the expected return with respect to the policy parameters. We perform detailed experimental comparisons of the proposed Bayesian policy gradient and actor-critic algorithms with classic Monte-Carlo based policy gradient methods, on a number of reinforcement learning problems.

This work revisits standard policy gradient methods used on restricted policy classes, which are known to get stuck in suboptimal critical points. We identify an important cause for this phenomenon to be that the policy gradient is itself fundamentally myopic, i.e. it only improves the policy based on the one-step $Q$-function. In this work, we propose a generalized $k$-step policy gradient method that couples the randomness within a $k$-step time window and can escape the myopic local optima in MDPs with restricted policy classes. We show this new method is theoretically guaranteed to converge to a solution that is exponentially close in performance to the optimal deterministic policy with respect to $k$. Further, we show projected gradient descent and mirror descent with this $k$-step policy gradient can achieve this exponential guarantee in $O(\frac{1}{T})$ iterations, despite only assuming smoothness and differentiability of the value function. This will provide near optimal solutions to previously elusive applications like state aggregation and partially observable cooperative multi-agent settings. Moreover, our bounds avoid the ubiquitous distribution mismatch factors $||d_μ^{π^*} / d_μ^π||_\infty$ and $||d_μ^{π^*} / μ||_\infty$ enabling the $k$-step policy gradient method to escape suboptimal critical points that emerge from poor exploration in fully observable settings.