Abstract
Music streaming fraud, where bad actors artificially inflate stream counts to manipulate chart rankings and royalty payments, poses a significant threat to streaming services and legitimate content creators. Traditional fraud detection approaches struggle with a critical challenge: many legitimate edge cases, including super-fans and sleep-music sessions, exhibit activity patterns that closely mimic those of coordinated fraud. We present SAGE, a novel counterfactual-aware negative harvesting approach that combines SimHash-based stratified sampling with a modular gating ensemble for confident negative identification from unlabeled data. Our ensemble architecture employs pluggable statistical gates (currently instantiated with Mahalanobis distance and k-NN density) with configurable voting thresholds enabling adaptive precision-recall trade-offs. This addresses the representation bias problem in Positive-Unlabeled learning by ensuring comprehensive coverage of rare behavioral cohorts through floor-constrained sampling. Evaluation demonstrates strong precision and recall on held-out data. The approach generalizes across fraud detection domains, achieving strong performance on both customer-level and artist-level fraud without modification to the core methodology.
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Detecting fraudulent credit card transactions remains a significant challenge, due to the extreme class imbalance in real-world data and the often subtle patterns that separate fraud from legitimate activity. Existing research commonly attempts to address this by generating synthetic samples for the minority class using approaches such as GANs, VAEs (Variational Autoencoders), or hybrid generative models. However, these techniques, particularly when applied only to minority-class data, tend to result in overconfident classifiers and poor latent cluster separation, ultimately limiting real-world detection performance. In this study, we propose the Causal Prototype Attention Classifier (CPAC), an interpretable architecture that promotes class-aware clustering and improved latent space structure through prototype-based attention mechanisms and we couple it with the encoder of a Variational Autoencoder-Generative Adversarial Network (VAE-GAN) in order to achieve improved latent cluster separation moving beyond post-hoc sample augmentation. We compared CPAC-augmented models to traditional oversamplers, such as SMOTE, as well as to state-of-the-art generative models, both with and without CPAC-based latent classifiers. Our results show that classifier-guided latent shaping with CPAC delivers superior performance, achieving an F1-score of 93.74% and recall of 92.85%, along with improved latent cluster separation. Further ablation studies and visualizations provide deeper insight into the benefits and limitations of classifier-driven representation learning for fraud detection. The codebase for this work can be found at the following link: https://github.com/claudiunderthehood/VAEGAN-CPAC.git.
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