Task-Routed Mixture-of-Experts with Cognitive Appraisal for Implicit Sentiment Analysis

Human social communication, such as affection and intent, is often conveyed in highly implicit ways, where underlying meanings are expressed through indirect, socially and culturally grounded signals rather than explicit statements. Such implicit social contexts are pervasive in real-world interactions, yet there remains a lack of a formal and systematic framework for studying them. In this paper, we introduce Implicit Social Context Analysis (MoCA), a novel task that systematically models implicit social scenarios along three key dimensions: affection, intent, and stance. We construct a high-quality benchmark containing 3,108 multimodal instances collected from real-world sources, with fine-grained cognitive annotations revealing who expresses what toward whom, as well as how and why it is conveyed. Using the MoCA dataset, we show that state-of-the-art multimodal large language models struggle significantly with this task because of their reliance on explicit cues and limited ability to reason over latent social contexts. To address this challenge, we propose Conflict-Driven Abductive Reasoning (CoDAR), a novel framework that models the discrepancy between observed expressions and expected truthful behavior as cognitive conflict, thereby enabling the inference of hidden mental states. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoDAR substantially improves model performance. Nevertheless, a large gap from human reasoning remains, highlighting the fundamental difficulty of implicit social understanding.

Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) is a fundamental component of affective computing that aims to decipher complex emotional states by integrating verbal content with non-verbal cues including vocal intonation and facial micro-expressions. While recent disentanglement-based approaches have advanced the field, their potential is hindered by two methodological challenges. First, static computation graphs process all samples indiscriminately regardless of semantic complexity, which leads to suboptimal representation for diverse emotional expressions and contextual scenarios. Second, generic contrastive objectives often neglect the intrinsic ordinal hierarchy of sentiment intensities. To systematically address these limitations, we introduce Multimodal Adaptive Expert Selection with Text Routing and Ordinal prototype optimization (MAESTRO), a novel framework designed to dynamically orchestrate and refine multimodal representations. Drawing inspiration from an orchestra conductor, we design a Text-Guided Hybrid Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) mechanism. Unlike static fusion, this module utilizes linguistic context as a routing signal to dynamically activate specific audio-visual experts, thereby resolving cross-modal ambiguity through adaptive feature enhancement. Furthermore, to capture fine-grained sentiment gradations, we propose an Ordinal-aware Prototype Contrastive Learning (O-PCL). By incorporating distance-based penalties into the prototype learning objective, O-PCL enforces a structured latent space that preserves the natural order of emotion. Extensive experiments on the CMU-MOSI and CMU-MOSEI benchmarks demonstrate that MAESTRO achieves state-of-the-art performance, and qualitative analysis further confirms the interpretability of our dynamic routing paradigm.

Ever since the advent of foundation models and the pre-training-finetuning paradigm, there have been numerous efforts to merge multiple task-specific experts into a single multi-task model. Prior work largely focuses on finding a single merged model, but it often underperforms individual experts due to parameter interference. To resolve this, dynamic model merging employs routing to activate task-relevant parameters per input. However, existing routers typically require either additional training with abundant labeled datasets or assume the access to task IDs of each input at inference time. In this work, we aim to close the gap to expert performance without additional training or task-ID-access assumption. To this end, we formulate routing as training-free task classification for each test input. Using singular value decomposition (SVD)-based low-rank manifold approximations for each task, SiM scores tasks by the projection residual of the test input feature onto each task manifold and routes accordingly. The task manifolds are pre-computable offline from a pretrained backbone using a small per-task support set (e.g., 32 examples per task) prior to merging process, requiring no router training and no data during the merging process. Moreover, SiM integrates seamlessly with subspace-/mask-based merging that represents task-expert via lightweight compressed task vectors, avoiding the need to store full expert parameters. Experiments across computer vision and natural language processing benchmarks under task-unknown inference demonstrate that SiM substantially improves merged-model performance and consistently narrows the gap to individual task experts.